Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
65.1%
|
2.05 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.13 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Torque
23 matches
Penarol
29 matches
| Atletico Torque | Statistic | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 14 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 34 | Goals For | 44 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 32.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Penarol. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Torque expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Penarol in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Penarol having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Operating from 4 place with 35 points from 22 games, Atletico Torque bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 33:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Penarol come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 43 points after 22 matches. With 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:19, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of - wins, - draws, and - losses supports the view of an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Torque won 3 times, Penarol won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Atletico Torque's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Juventud
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Danubio
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Progreso
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
Atletico Torque
Juventud
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Miramar
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
Atletico Torque
Boston River
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
Penarol
Racing Montevideo
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Defensor Sporting
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Platense
Penarol
Corinthians
Penarol
Wanderers
Penarol
Santa Fe
Penarol
Progreso
Penarol
Boston River
Penarol
Albion FC
Penarol
Club Nacional
Penarol
Central Espanol
Penarol
Club Nacional
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Penarol
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Cerro
Penarol
Miramar
Penarol
Cerro Largo
Penarol
Liverpool Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penarol
Away
|
59 | 37 | 10 | 12 | 101:53 | 48 | 121 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 2 | 59 | 35 | 12 | 12 | 110:62 | 48 | 114 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 41 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 59 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 76:60 | 16 | 94 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 59 | 25 | 19 | 15 | 66:55 | 11 | 94 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 34 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 59 | 24 | 16 | 19 | 61:58 | 3 | 88 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Atletico Torque
Home
|
59 | 23 | 15 | 21 | 87:78 | 9 | 84 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 59 | 24 | 12 | 23 | 70:72 | -2 | 84 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 59 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 69:69 | 0 | 77 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 59 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 64:65 | -1 | 77 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 59 | 16 | 18 | 25 | 53:72 | -19 | 66 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 59 | 14 | 23 | 22 | 63:71 | -8 | 65 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 59 | 17 | 15 | 27 | 47:76 | -29 | 65 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 59 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 56:94 | -38 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
W
|