URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario
Referee: G. Tejera
Atletico Torque
Match Timeline
Club Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
R. Lecchini
Atletico Torque
🟨
33'
Facundo Silvera
Atletico Torque
🟨
36'
Bautista Kociubinski
Atletico Torque
55'
C. Candido
Club Nacional
56'
M. Silvera
Club Nacional
🔄
62'
F. Pizzichillo ↔ N. Da Silva
Atletico Torque
🔄
67'
B. Kociubinski ↔ S. Caceres
Atletico Torque
🔄
67'
J. De Los Santos ↔ G. Carneiro
Club Nacional
🟨
71'
Gonzalo Carneiro
Club Nacional
🟨
72'
Nahuel Da Silva
Atletico Torque
🔄
73'
A. dos Santos ↔ L. Boggio
Club Nacional
🔄
73'
M. Silvera ↔ P. Nunez
Club Nacional
🔄
81'
G. Kagelmacher ↔ K. Silva
Atletico Torque
🔄
81'
F. Silvera ↔ E. Busquets
Atletico Torque
🔄
81'
R. Lecchini ↔ L. Dure
Atletico Torque
🟨
86'
Baltasar Barcia
Club Nacional
🔄
90+1'
B. Barcia ↔ P. Calione
Club Nacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Torque Win 66.5%
Draw 13.7%
Club Nacional Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Torque1.51
Club Nacional1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WWDLW
22 GF / 16 GA
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WLDWL
32 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
9
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 15 matches
Club Nacional Club Nacional 19 matches
Atletico Torque Statistic Club Nacional
6 Wins 8
5 Draws 2
4 Losses 9
22 Goals For 32
16 Goals Against 30
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
9 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 4.25
0 Total Shots 9.75
0 Corners 5.25
0% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club Nacional. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Nacional arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Torque expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Club Nacional in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Nacional having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque are currently 6 in the standings with 23 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 22:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Salomón Rodríguez (6 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), N. Da Silva (3 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Club Nacional Analysis

Club Nacional approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 22 points from 15 matches. The overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 26:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Gomez (10 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), Agustín Rogel (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Torque won 2 times, Club Nacional won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:34 from Atletico Torque's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Torque 4-3-3 / Club Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Torque wins 2, draws 2, Club Nacional wins 11

Lineups

Atletico Torque
Formation
Club Nacional
F. Torgnascioli
F. Torgnascioli
E. Aguero
E. Aguero
F. Romero
F. Romero
G. Kagelmacher
G. Kagelmacher
F. Silvera
F. Silvera
F. Pizzichillo
F. Pizzichillo
B. Kociubinski
B. Kociubinski
G. Montes
G. Montes
E. Obregon
E. Obregon
S. Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
R. Lecchini
R. Lecchini
L. Mejia
L. Mejia
E. Ancheta
E. Ancheta
S. Coates
S. Coates
T. Viera
T. Viera
C. Candido
C. Candido
A. dos Santos
A. dos Santos
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
B. Barcia
B. Barcia
M. Silvera
M. Silvera
J. De Los Santos
J. De Los Santos
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
Atletico Torque 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
F. Torgnascioli
G
17
E. Aguero
D
2
F. Romero
D
24
G. Kagelmacher
↓ 81'
D
26
F. Silvera
↓ 81' 🟨 33'
D
5
F. Pizzichillo
↓ 62'
D
14
B. Kociubinski
↓ 67' 🟨 36'
M
20
G. Montes
M
10
E. Obregon
F
9
S. Rodriguez
F
18
R. Lecchini
⚽ 21' ↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
13
G. Rodriguez
G
3
K. Silva
↑ 81'
D
15
E. Busquets
↑ 81'
D
21
N. Perez
D
23
L. Dure
↑ 81'
M
27
J. Taran
D
32
S. Caceres
↑ 67'
M
11
N. Da Silva
↑ 62' 🟨 72'
F
30
J. Quintana
M
31
A. Munoz
F
Club Nacional 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Mejia
G
13
E. Ancheta
D
4
S. Coates
D
32
T. Viera
D
21
C. Candido
⚽ 55'
D
10
A. dos Santos
↓ 73'
M
23
L. Rodriguez
M
30
B. Barcia
↓ 90+1' 🟨 86'
M
11
M. Silvera
⚽ 56' ↓ 73'
F
19
J. De Los Santos
↓ 67'
M
9
M. Gomez
F
Substitutes
25
I. Suarez
G
15
P. Calione
↑ 90+1'
D
77
N. Rodriguez
D
6
L. Boggio
↑ 73'
M
14
N. Lodeiro
M
27
T. Veron
M
56
J. I. Garcia Lantean
7
N. Lopez
F
18
P. Nunez
↑ 73'
F
20
G. Carneiro
↑ 67' 🟨 71'
F
Last matches: Atletico Torque
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Atletico Torque
Bahia
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
Last matches: Club Nacional
17.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
H2H: Atletico Torque vs Club Nacional
15.05.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
28.03.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
02.08.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
5
2
L
01.06.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
02.02.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
0
W
23.11.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
4
0
L
07.12.23
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
14.05.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
0
4
L
27.08.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
0
3
L
13.03.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
04.11.21
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
0
L
11.07.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
3
0
W
11.02.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
20.08.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
0
L
22.07.18
H2H
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
L
Last matches: Atletico Torque
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
03.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Miramar
3
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
4
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
19.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
16.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Rentistas
0
5
L
01.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Tacuarembo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Torque
15.05.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
28.03.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
01.06.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
02.02.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
0
4
L
27.08.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
0
3
L
11.07.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
3
0
W
11.02.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
Last matches: Club Nacional
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
2
1
W
23.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
0
0
D
26.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
0
0
D
12.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
28.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
H2H away: Club Nacional
15.05.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
W
28.03.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
W
01.06.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
W
02.02.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
0
4
W
27.08.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
0
3
W
11.07.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
3
0
L
11.02.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
W

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 4 5 36:22 14 40
L D W W D
2 21 12 4 5 32:19 13 40
W D W L W
3 20 10 8 2 26:16 10 38
D D D D W
4 21 10 5 6 33:25 8 35
W W L W W
5 21 9 6 6 30:22 8 33
L D W L L
6 21 10 2 9 32:28 4 32
L D W L W
7 20 9 5 6 27:25 2 32
D D W L W
8 21 9 5 7 26:25 1 32
W W D W D
9 20 6 7 7 23:22 1 25
L D W D L
10 20 7 4 9 22:21 1 25
D D W W L
11 20 5 9 6 16:17 -1 24
D D D L L
12 21 6 4 11 25:33 -8 22
W L D L L
13 21 6 4 11 19:29 -10 22
L D D L L
14 21 4 9 8 20:28 -8 21
L D D D L
15 21 4 4 13 17:32 -15 16
W L L W L
16 20 4 4 12 12:32 -20 16
W L L W L
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