URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Centenario
Referee: L. Lasso
Atletico Torque
Match Timeline
Boston River
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Pablo Siles
Atletico Torque
19'
F. Pizzichillo
Atletico Torque
21'
F. Pizzichillo
Atletico Torque
🔄
46'
F. Barrios ↔ A. Amado
Boston River
🔄
46'
M. Hornos ↔ F. Perez
Boston River
🟨
50'
Facundo Silvera
Atletico Torque
🔄
57'
F. Pizzichillo ↔ D. Guzman
Atletico Torque
🔄
57'
E. Obregon ↔ S. Caceres
Atletico Torque
63'
G. Montes
Atletico Torque
🔄
65'
R. Lecchini ↔ B. Kociubinski
Atletico Torque
🔄
65'
P. Siles ↔ L. Andrade
Atletico Torque
🟨
69'
Agustín Amado
Boston River
🔄
73'
Y. Gonzalez ↔ G. Ramirez
Boston River
🔄
73'
G. Reyna ↔ F. Munoa
Boston River
🔄
73'
A. Gonzalez ↔ F. Bonfiglio
Boston River
74'
F. Perez
Boston River
76'
S. Caceres
Atletico Torque
🔄
78'
G. Montes ↔ J. Quintana
Atletico Torque
🟨
81'
Gaston Ramirez
Boston River
🟨
83'
Juan Manuel Acosta
Boston River

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
57.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Torque Win 40%
Draw 23.4%
Boston River Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Torque1.18
Boston River0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
WWDLW
15 GF / 13 GA
Boston River Boston River
WLDWL
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 12 matches
Boston River Boston River 12 matches
Atletico Torque Statistic Boston River
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 6
15 Goals For 10
13 Goals Against 13
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Atletico Torque's more proactive style and Boston River's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Torque have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Boston River. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Torque expected to line up in 5-2-3 and Boston River in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Boston River having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atletico Torque Analysis

Atletico Torque approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 16 points from 12 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 14:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Salomón Rodríguez (6 goals), E. Obregon (3 goals), A. Garcia (1 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Montes (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Boston River Analysis

Boston River sit 12 with 14 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 9:13 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Bonfiglio (3 goals), L. Suhr (2 goals), Alexander González (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Torque won 7 times, Boston River won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:20 from Atletico Torque's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Torque 5-2-3 / Boston River 3-4-3
H2H summary: Atletico Torque wins 7, draws 4, Boston River wins 4

Lineups

Atletico Torque
Formation
Boston River
F. Torgnascioli
F. Torgnascioli
E. Aguero
E. Aguero
F. Pizzichillo
⚽ 2
F. Pizzichillo
F. Silvera
F. Silvera
F. Romero
F. Romero
G. Kagelmacher
G. Kagelmacher
E. Obregon
E. Obregon
P. Siles
P. Siles
G. Montes
G. Montes
R. Lecchini
R. Lecchini
S. Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
M. Rivero
M. Rivero
K. Sotto
K. Sotto
A. Aguirre
A. Aguirre
J. Acosta
J. Acosta
F. Barrios
F. Barrios
F. Dafonte
F. Dafonte
G. Reyna
G. Reyna
M. Hornos
M. Hornos
Y. Gonzalez
Y. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
Atletico Torque 5-3-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Torgnascioli
G
17
E. Aguero
D
5
F. Pizzichillo
⚽ 19' ⚽ 21' ↓ 57'
D
26
F. Silvera
🟨 50'
D
2
F. Romero
D
24
G. Kagelmacher
D
10
E. Obregon
↓ 57'
M
8
P. Siles
↓ 65' 🟨 11'
M
20
G. Montes
⚽ 63' ↓ 78'
M
18
R. Lecchini
↓ 65'
F
9
S. Rodriguez
F
Substitutes
13
G. Rodriguez
G
3
K. Silva
D
27
J. Taran
D
14
B. Kociubinski
↑ 65'
M
19
D. Guzman
↑ 57'
M
23
L. Dure
M
32
S. Caceres
⚽ 76' ↑ 57'
M
7
L. Andrade
↑ 65'
M
30
J. Quintana
↑ 78'
M
11
N. Da Silva
F
Boston River 4-2-3-1 (estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
12
J. Gonzalez
G
23
M. Rivero
D
2
K. Sotto
D
25
A. Aguirre
D
31
J. Acosta
🟨 83'
D
5
F. Barrios
↓ 46'
M
14
F. Dafonte
M
99
G. Reyna
↓ 73'
M
20
M. Hornos
↓ 46'
M
32
Y. Gonzalez
↓ 73'
M
9
A. Gonzalez
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
B. Antunez
G
30
M. Gonzalez
D
13
I. Fernandez
D
24
J. S. O'Neill Lopez
D
17
R. Haller
D
10
A. Amado
↑ 46' 🟨 69'
M
11
G. Ramirez
↑ 73' 🟨 81'
M
26
F. Munoa
↑ 73'
M
21
F. Perez
⚽ 74' ↑ 46'
M
8
F. Bonfiglio
↑ 73'
F
Last matches: Atletico Torque
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Atletico Torque
Bahia
1
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
24.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
09.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
4
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
Last matches: Boston River
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
16.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
4
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Central Espanol
2
1
W
20.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
4
1
W
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
25.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
1
L
10.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Albion FC
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
1
2
L
H2H: Atletico Torque vs Boston River
24.04.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
08.08.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
23.06.25
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
2
1
L
09.02.25
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
0
0
D
24.11.23
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
2
0
L
25.06.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
3
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
17.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
0
2
L
28.05.22
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
3
1
L
03.10.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
3
W
06.06.21
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
2
W
15.02.21
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
0
3
W
23.08.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
2
0
W
15.09.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
3
2
W
28.03.18
H2H
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
Last matches: Atletico Torque
24.07.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Danubio
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
1
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Progreso
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Albion FC
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Central Espanol
2
1
W
26.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
17.02.26
Pri
Atletico Torque
Juventud
2
2
D
09.11.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Penarol
0
2
L
18.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro
1
2
L
12.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
2
2
D
03.10.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Miramar
3
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
07.09.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Liverpool Montevideo
1
1
D
24.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Racing Montevideo
4
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
19.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
16.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Rentistas
0
5
L
01.11.24
Seg
Atletico Torque
Tacuarembo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Torque
24.04.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
W
08.08.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
3
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
17.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
0
2
L
03.10.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
3
W
23.08.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
2
0
W
15.09.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
3
2
W
Last matches: Boston River
18.07.26
Pri
Boston River
Penarol
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
0
3
L
11.05.26
Pri
Boston River
Deportivo Maldonado
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Boston River
Defensor Sporting
0
2
L
30.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Juventud
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Boston River
Progreso
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Boston River
Danubio
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro
0
0
D
31.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Wanderers
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Miramar
4
0
W
11.10.25
Pri
Boston River
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Boston River
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Club Nacional
0
0
D
08.08.25
Pri
Boston River
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
11.06.16
Seg
Boston River
Tacuarembo
0
3
L
03.06.16
Seg
Boston River
Cerro Largo
1
0
W
21.05.16
Seg
Boston River
Rampla Juniors
1
2
L
H2H away: Boston River
24.04.26
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
1
L
08.08.25
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
25.06.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
3
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
1
1
D
17.10.22
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
0
2
W
03.10.21
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
4
3
L
23.08.20
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
2
0
L
15.09.18
H2H
Atletico Torque
Boston River
3
2
L

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 4 5 36:22 14 40
L D W W D
2 21 12 4 5 32:19 13 40
W D W L W
3 20 10 8 2 26:16 10 38
D D D D W
4 21 9 6 6 30:22 8 33
L D W L L
5 20 9 5 6 32:25 7 32
W L W W L
6 21 10 2 9 32:28 4 32
L D W L W
7 20 9 5 6 27:25 2 32
D D W L W
8 21 9 5 7 26:25 1 32
W W D W D
9 20 6 7 7 23:22 1 25
L D W D L
10 20 7 4 9 22:21 1 25
D D W W L
11 20 5 9 6 16:17 -1 24
D D D L L
12 21 6 4 11 25:33 -8 22
W L D L L
13 21 6 4 11 19:29 -10 22
L D D L L
14 20 4 9 7 20:27 -7 21
D D D L L
15 21 4 4 13 17:32 -15 16
W L L W L
16 20 4 4 12 12:32 -20 16
W L L W L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
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