Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
63.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Atletico San Luis
Necaxa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico San Luis
13 matches
Necaxa
13 matches
| Atletico San Luis | Statistic | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 23 | Goals For | 18 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 1.77 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.88 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 12.63 | Total Shots | 14.5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5.75 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Necaxa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Necaxa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico San Luis expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Necaxa in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Necaxa having the stronger overall control.
Atletico San Luis sit 16 with 6 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 8:13 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafa Llorente (3 goals), D. Rodríguez (2 goals), Ó. Macías (1 goals), with creative support from L. Flores (2 assists), Ó. Macías (1 assists), R. Torres (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Necaxa sit 13 with 8 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 9:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Carranza (2 goals), Juan Valencia (1 goals), M. Espíndola (1 goals), with creative support from Juan Valencia (1 assists), M. Zaleta (1 assists), A. Peña (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico San Luis won 3 times, Necaxa won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:33 from Atletico San Luis's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 |
Necaxa
Away
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Atletico San Luis
Home
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4:23 | -19 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|