MEXICO LIGA MX
18.07.2026 01:00
Estadio Libertad Financiera
Referee: Adonai Escobedo Gonzalez
Atletico San Luis
Match Timeline
Cruz Azul
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Sergio
Atletico San Luis
🟨
33'
Carlos Rodríguez
Cruz Azul
46'
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
Atletico San Luis
50'
Sergio · Assist: Leonardo Flores
Atletico San Luis
🔄
56'
Agustín Palavecino ↔ Nicolás Ibáñez
Cruz Azul
🔄
56'
Omar Campos ↔ Luka Romero
Cruz Azul
🔄
56'
Osinachi Ebere ↔ Gabriel Fernández
Cruz Azul
VAR
60'
José Paradela
Cruz Azul
63'
Gabriel Fernández
Cruz Azul
🔄
70'
Leonardo Flores ↔ Ronaldo Nájera
Atletico San Luis
🟨
75'
Robson Bambu
Atletico San Luis
🔄
76'
David Rodriguez ↔ Miguel Alonso García
Atletico San Luis
🔄
77'
Lucas Esteves ↔ Anderson Duarte
Atletico San Luis
🔄
77'
Erik Lira ↔ Andres Montaño
Cruz Azul
81'
Jeremy Márquez · Assist: Luka Romero
Cruz Azul
🔄
87'
José Paradela ↔ Amaury Garcia
Cruz Azul
🔄
88'
Sergio ↔ Santiago Muñoz
Atletico San Luis
90+3'
Jeremy Márquez · Assist: Carlos Rodríguez
Cruz Azul

Atletico San Luis vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 44.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
44.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico San Luis Win 40.6%
Draw 15.4%
Cruz Azul Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico San Luis2.33
Cruz Azul1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
WWDLW
15 GF / 2 GA
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
WLDWL
20 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
2.22
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
1
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 5 matches
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 9 matches
Atletico San Luis Statistic Cruz Azul
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 3
0 Losses 2
15 Goals For 20
2 Goals Against 12
3 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
0.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
1 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 7
0 Total Shots 21
0 Corners 7.33
0% Ball Possession 63.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico San Luis won 3 times, Cruz Azul won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from Atletico San Luis's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Atletico San Luis 3-4-2-1 / Cruz Azul 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico San Luis wins 3, draws 2, Cruz Azul wins 10

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 15:6 9 17
W W D W W
2 7 5 1 1 17:6 11 16
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
4 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 8 4 1 3 11:9 2 13
W L D W W
7 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
8 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
W L W W D
9 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
10 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
11 8 3 2 3 11:12 -1 11
L W L D D
12 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
L L W D L
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 8 0 0 8 4:23 -19 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)