CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
TD Place Stadium
Referee: B. Hoskins
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
Supra du Quebec
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
S. Rea · Assist: L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
29'
J. Assi
Atlético Ottawa
38'
O. Boughanmi · Assist: S. Rea
Supra du Quebec
44'
L. A. Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
48'
M. Aparicio · Assist: S. Lopez
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
59'
J. Assi ↔ W. Timoteo
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
62'
E. Myklebust ↔ E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
68'
B. Tabla · Assist: E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
70'
A. Sissoko ↔ S. Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
70'
L. A. Kwemi ↔ B. Kabore
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
O. Boughanmi ↔ A. Biello
Supra du Quebec
🔄
74'
C. Bayiha ↔ R. Bey
Supra du Quebec
79'
E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
81'
S. Lopez ↔ K. Habibullah
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
81'
D. Choiniere ↔ A. Marcoux
Supra du Quebec
🔄
82'
Y. W. Wandje Djomze ↔ O. El Kalkouli
Supra du Quebec
🔄
88'
J. Castro ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
90'
E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 50.2%
Draw 14.2%
Supra du Quebec Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
10 GF / 22 GA
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.25
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
3
1.09
Shots on Goal
1.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 11 matches
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 8 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic Supra du Quebec
3 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 3
10 Goals For 10
22 Goals Against 9
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
6 BTTS Yes 5
9 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 3
1.09 Shots On Goal 1.25
3.36 Total Shots 5.25
1.18 Corners 2.13
33.1% Ball Possession 20.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Supra du Quebec's more proactive style and Atlético Ottawa's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Supra du Quebec having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Supra du Quebec. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Atlético Ottawa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 11 points after 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Tabla (2 goals), A. S. Abatneh N. (1 goals), E. Garcia (1 goals), with creative support from Manny Aparicio (2 assists), B. Tabla (1 assists), J. Coulanges (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Placed 5 with 10 points from 7 outings, Supra du Quebec continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Rea (3 goals), L. A. Kwemi (2 goals), M. Chretien (2 goals), with creative support from S. Rea (2 assists), D. Choiniere (2 assists), Abzi Diyaeddine (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 2 times, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 4-3-2-1 / Supra du Quebec -
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 2, draws 0, Supra du Quebec wins 1

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
Supra du Quebec
C. Kalongo
C. Kalongo
L. Cloutier
L. Cloutier
A. S. Abatneh N.
A. S. Abatneh N.
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
J. Assi
J. Assi
M. Aparicio
M. Aparicio
J. Castro
J. Castro
J. Coulanges
J. Coulanges
S. Lopez
🎯
S. Lopez
E. Myklebust
E. Myklebust
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
M. Gerges
M. Gerges
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
K. Ferdinand
K. Ferdinand
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
A. Sissoko
A. Sissoko
O. Boughanmi
O. Boughanmi
S. Rea
🎯
S. Rea
C. Bayiha
C. Bayiha
L. A. Kwemi
🎯
L. A. Kwemi
D. Choiniere
D. Choiniere
Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
C. Kalongo
28
L. Cloutier
23
A. S. Abatneh N.
5
D. Aguilar
14
J. Assi
⚽ 29' ↓ 59'
10
M. Aparicio
⚽ 48'
2
J. Castro
↓ 88'
20
J. Coulanges
99
S. Lopez
🎯 48' ↓ 81'
9
E. Myklebust
↓ 62'
13
B. Tabla
⚽ 68'
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
7
E. Garcia
⚽ 79' ⚽ 90' 🎯 68' ↑ 62'
8
J. Villal
30
K. Habibullah
↑ 81'
27
W. Timoteo
↑ 59'
19
R. Khoury
↑ 88'
37
T. Arnaud
Supra du Quebec 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
28
M. Gerges
2
C. Auguste
5
K. Ferdinand
4
M. Chretien
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
↓ 82'
33
A. Sissoko
↓ 70'
20
O. Boughanmi
⚽ 38' ↓ 73'
10
S. Rea
⚽ 3' 🎯 38'
12
C. Bayiha
↓ 74'
9
L. A. Kwemi
⚽ 44' 🎯 3' ↓ 70'
7
D. Choiniere
↓ 81'
Substitutes
16
J. Faury
77
R. Bey
↑ 74'
24
S. Mlah
↑ 70'
19
B. Kabore
↑ 70'
6
A. Biello
↑ 73'
8
O. El Kalkouli
↑ 82'
18
A. Marcoux
↑ 81'
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H: Atlético Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
L
09.06.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Ottawa
09.06.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
H2H away: Supra du Quebec
09.06.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
L