CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
TD Place Stadium
Referee: C. Shaw-MacLaren
Atlético Ottawa
Match Timeline
Cavalry FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
G. Ntignee
Cavalry FC
9'
S. Camargo · Assist: C. Elva
Cavalry FC
17'
G. Ntignee
Cavalry FC
39'
C. Elva · Assist: G. Ntignee
Cavalry FC
🟨
45+4'
Fewo
Cavalry FC
🔄
46'
E. Myklebust ↔ E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
46'
J. Villal ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
46'
D. Aguilar ↔ W. Timoteo
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
54'
H. Paton
Cavalry FC
🔄
62'
R. Mbomio ↔ J. Assi
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
62'
H. Paton ↔ M. Baldisimo
Cavalry FC
🔄
62'
G. Ntignee ↔ N. Edwards
Cavalry FC
🔄
71'
S. Camargo ↔ N. Myroniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
75'
B. Tabla ↔ R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
77'
A. Musse ↔ O. Antoniuk
Cavalry FC
🔄
77'
C. Elva ↔ J. Herdman
Cavalry FC
🟨
80'
R. Khoury
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
84'
N. Ingham
Cavalry FC
🟨
86'
J. Castro
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Ottawa Win 38.6%
Draw 15.1%
Cavalry FC Win 46.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Ottawa1.03
Cavalry FC1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WWDLW
18 GF / 26 GA
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
WLDWL
19 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.9
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
8
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
4
1.15
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 13 matches
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC 10 matches
Atlético Ottawa Statistic Cavalry FC
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 1
18 Goals For 19
26 Goals Against 5
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
8 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 7
8 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
1.15 Shots On Goal 2.4
3.54 Total Shots 7.3
1.15 Corners 3.1
30.8% Ball Possession 26.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cavalry FC's more proactive style and Atlético Ottawa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cavalry FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Cavalry FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while Atlético Ottawa sit 3 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlético Ottawa expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Cavalry FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cavalry FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cavalry FC.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 14 points from 10 games, Atlético Ottawa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a 15:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cavalry FC Analysis

Cavalry FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 23 points after 10 matches. With 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 19:5, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Ottawa won 6 times, Cavalry FC won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:20 from Atlético Ottawa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3 / Cavalry FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: Atlético Ottawa wins 6, draws 4, Cavalry FC wins 5
Stats
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC Cavalry FC
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 5
5 Fouls 3
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
Cavalry FC
C. Kalongo
C. Kalongo
R. Mbomio
R. Mbomio
L. Cloutier
L. Cloutier
S. Kozlovskiy
S. Kozlovskiy
D. Aguilar
D. Aguilar
G. Antinoro
G. Antinoro
J. Castro
J. Castro
J. Villal
J. Villal
M. Aparicio
M. Aparicio
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
E. Myklebust
E. Myklebust
N. Ingham
N. Ingham
A. Pearlman
A. Pearlman
D. Klomp
D. Klomp
A. Didic
A. Didic
Fewo
Fewo
H. Paton
H. Paton
E. Kobza
E. Kobza
A. Musse
A. Musse
S. Camargo
S. Camargo
G. Ntignee
🎯
G. Ntignee
C. Elva
🎯
C. Elva
Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
C. Kalongo
18
R. Mbomio
↓ 62'
28
L. Cloutier
84
S. Kozlovskiy
5
D. Aguilar
↓ 46'
11
G. Antinoro
2
J. Castro
🟨 86'
8
J. Villal
↓ 46'
10
M. Aparicio
13
B. Tabla
↓ 75'
9
E. Myklebust
↓ 46'
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
7
E. Garcia
↑ 46'
20
J. Coulanges
↑ 46'
14
J. Assi
↑ 62'
27
W. Timoteo
↑ 46'
23
A. S. Abatneh N.
19
R. Khoury
↑ 75' 🟨 80'
Cavalry FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
29
N. Ingham
🟨 84'
16
A. Pearlman
4
D. Klomp
55
A. Didic
5
Fewo
🟨 45+4'
8
H. Paton
↓ 62' 🟨 54'
24
E. Kobza
7
A. Musse
↓ 77'
10
S. Camargo
⚽ 9' ↓ 71'
20
G. Ntignee
⚽ 17' 🎯 39' ↓ 62' 🟨 4'
14
C. Elva
⚽ 39' 🎯 9' ↓ 77'
Substitutes
21
J. Holliday
15
L. Laing
19
O. Antoniuk
↑ 77'
6
M. Baldisimo
↑ 62'
11
J. Herdman
↑ 77'
28
N. Myroniuk
↑ 71'
17
N. Edwards
↑ 62'
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
Last matches: Cavalry FC
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
2
0
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
24.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
3
0
W
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
25.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H: Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC
04.07.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
12.04.26
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
3
0
W
23.08.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
2
2
D
28.06.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
3
W
15.09.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
2
D
03.08.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
22.06.24
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
29.07.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
13.07.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
0
2
W
21.05.23
H2H
Cavalry FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
L
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Ottawa
04.07.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
09.11.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
2
1
W
27.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
3
0
W
23.08.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
2
2
D
03.08.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
29.07.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Cavalry FC
10.06.26
Can
Cavalry FC
York United
5
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
1
L
18.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Vancouver FC
2
0
W
03.05.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Forge
0
0
D
05.04.26
Can
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Cavalry FC
04.07.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
W
09.11.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
2
1
L
27.09.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
3
0
L
23.08.25
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
2
2
D
03.08.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
2
W
29.07.23
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)