ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
27.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Aurinegro

Atletico Mitre vs San Telmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.5%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Mitre Win 49%
Draw 19.5%
San Telmo Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre0.99
San Telmo0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WWDLW
27 GF / 37 GA
San Telmo San Telmo
WLDWL
23 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
14
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 30 matches
San Telmo San Telmo 30 matches
Atletico Mitre Statistic San Telmo
6 Wins 7
14 Draws 10
10 Losses 13
27 Goals For 23
37 Goals Against 34
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
14 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 15
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Telmo having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Telmo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

Atletico Mitre sit 14 with 32 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 27:37, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Telmo Analysis

With 31 points from 30 games and a place of 17, San Telmo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 23:34, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Mitre won 3 times, San Telmo won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Atletico Mitre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.5%)
H2H summary: Atletico Mitre wins 3, draws 3, San Telmo wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation