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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Aurinegro
Atletico Mitre
Match Timeline
Colon Santa Fe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
43'
F. Castet
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
46'
F. Lertora ↔ J. Buosi
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
59'
M. Maldonado ↔ R. Gonzalez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
65'
J. Marcioni ↔ E. Beltran
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
66'
M. Vazquez ↔ A. Lopez
Atletico Mitre
🟨
69'
R. Gonzalez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
78'
A. Toledo ↔ L. Garate
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
78'
A. Bonansea ↔ M. Munoz
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
86'
O. Garrido ↔ F. J. Gorla
Atletico Mitre
🔄
86'
Y. Cabral ↔ E. Avaro
Atletico Mitre
🔄
88'
F. Castet ↔ S. Olmedo
Colon Santa Fe

Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.4%
Odds 2.96
BTTS
No
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.4%
2.96 ▥
BTTS No
71.7%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.37 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.49 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
4.75 ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Mitre Win 32.5%
Draw 17.1%
Colon Santa Fe Win 50.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre0.86
Colon Santa Fe1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WWDLW
29 GF / 39 GA
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WLDWL
39 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
14
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 32 matches
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 32 matches
Atletico Mitre Statistic Colon Santa Fe
7 Wins 14
14 Draws 10
11 Losses 8
29 Goals For 39
39 Goals Against 25
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
14 BTTS Yes 12
23 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Colon Santa Fe's more proactive style and Atletico Mitre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colon Santa Fe. Colon Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 52 points while Atletico Mitre sit 14 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colon Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

Atletico Mitre sit 14 with 35 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 14 draws, and 11 defeats with a 29:39 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Colon Santa Fe arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 52 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 39:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Mitre won 2 times, Colon Santa Fe won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Atletico Mitre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
H2H summary: Atletico Mitre wins 2, draws 2, Colon Santa Fe wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 18 7 7 36:27 9 61
L W W D D
2 32 17 7 8 51:32 19 58
W L L W W
3 32 16 8 8 42:29 13 56
W D W W W
4 32 14 11 7 46:28 18 53
W D W L W
5 32 14 10 8 39:25 14 52
W D W L L
6 32 12 10 10 25:21 4 46
L L L D D
7 32 12 9 11 29:27 2 45
L W W W L
8 32 11 12 9 27:28 -1 45
W W L D L
9 32 9 13 10 25:23 2 40
L W L D D
10 32 9 10 13 30:33 -3 37
D L W D W
11 32 8 13 11 25:29 -4 37
D L W W D
12 32 9 10 13 28:36 -8 37
W W L W D
13 32 9 10 13 29:39 -10 37
D D L L L
14 32 7 14 11 29:39 -10 35
W L L D D
15 32 6 15 11 20:29 -9 33
D D L D D
16 32 6 15 11 18:28 -10 33
L D D L W
17 32 6 13 13 25:38 -13 31
L L D D L
18 32 7 8 17 22:35 -13 29
L W W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation