ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Aurinegro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Mitre Win 84%
Draw 7.4%
Central Norte Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre0.98
Central Norte0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WWDLW
25 GF / 33 GA
Central Norte Central Norte
WLDWL
18 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 26 matches
Central Norte Central Norte 26 matches
Atletico Mitre Statistic Central Norte
6 Wins 6
11 Draws 10
9 Losses 10
25 Goals For 18
33 Goals Against 26
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Central Norte. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Norte having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Atletico Mitre have collected 29 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 25:29 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Central Norte Analysis

Central Norte sit 16 with 24 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 15:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Mitre won 1 times, Central Norte won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Atletico Mitre's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
H2H summary: Atletico Mitre wins 1, draws 2, Central Norte wins 2
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
21.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
0
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
02.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
0
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
1
3
L
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Los Andes
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Miguel
4
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Telmo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
1
D
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
L
Last matches: Central Norte
23.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
16.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
0
D
10.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
Los Andes
1
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
0
4
L
05.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Miguel
1
1
D
21.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Telmo
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Acassuso
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Madryn
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
H2H: Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte
12.04.26
H2H
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
27.07.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
0
2
L
23.03.25
H2H
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
0
2
W
07.02.17
H2H
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
05.02.17
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
2
L
Last matches: Atletico Mitre
15.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Defensores De Belgrano
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Racing Cordoba
1
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
All Boys
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Los Andes
0
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1
3
L
17.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
San Miguel
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Acassuso
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Madryn
1
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
23.02.26
Pri
Atletico Mitre
CA Estudiantes
1
0
W
H2H at home: Atletico Mitre
27.07.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
0
2
L
05.02.17
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
2
L
Last matches: Central Norte
10.08.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
Godoy Cruz
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
0
4
L
06.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Acassuso
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Los Andes
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
13.02.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Miguel
0
1
L
28.01.26
Fri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
H2H away: Central Norte
27.07.25
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
0
2
W
05.02.17
H2H
Atletico Mitre
Central Norte
1
2
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 4 6 32:23 9 52
W W W L L
2 25 13 6 6 41:24 17 45
D W W L W
3 26 12 9 5 34:20 14 45
W W W D L
4 26 11 10 5 38:24 14 43
W W D W W
5 26 11 8 7 22:16 6 41
W L W W D
6 26 11 7 8 29:24 5 40
L W L W W
7 26 9 8 9 23:22 1 35
L W L D L
8 26 8 11 7 22:23 -1 35
D L L L W
9 25 8 9 8 20:15 5 33
L L L L D
10 26 8 8 10 24:29 -5 32
D D W L W
11 25 6 11 8 20:25 -5 29
L W L L D
12 26 6 11 9 25:33 -8 29
L D W W D
13 25 6 9 10 17:25 -8 27
W D D W L
14 26 5 12 9 15:24 -9 27
L W D L D
15 25 5 11 9 16:23 -7 26
L D L D D
16 25 6 7 12 22:29 -7 25
W L L W W
17 25 5 9 11 20:29 -9 24
D L L W L
18 25 5 7 13 18:30 -12 22
L D L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation