ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
26.07.2026 19:00
Estadio Aurinegro
Atletico Mitre
Match Timeline
Almirante Brown
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
M. Vazquez
Atletico Mitre
🟨
54'
E. Cardozo
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
M. Santiago ↔ J. Velazquez
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
E. Martinez ↔ J. Lopez
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
L. Pascual ↔ T. Almada
Almirante Brown
🔄
67'
M. Vazquez ↔ A. Lopez
Atletico Mitre
🔄
67'
M. Machado ↔ L. Mendoza
Atletico Mitre
🔄
74'
E. Avaro ↔ O. Garrido
Atletico Mitre
🔄
76'
M. Abreliano ↔ M. Zanotti
Almirante Brown
🔄
80'
M. Maldonado ↔ G. Valdivia
Atletico Mitre
🔄
80'
F. Cabral ↔ J. Zarate
Atletico Mitre
🔄
85'
R. Fernandez ↔ P. Velurtas
Almirante Brown

Atletico Mitre vs Almirante Brown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.7%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Mitre Win 39.8%
Draw 17.5%
Almirante Brown Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Mitre0.82
Almirante Brown0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
11
BTTS Yes
6
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 21 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 21 matches
Atletico Mitre Statistic Almirante Brown
4 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
8 Losses 6
20 Goals For 15
27 Goals Against 13
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
11 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 7
9 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Almirante Brown's more proactive style and Atletico Mitre's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico Mitre have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Almirante Brown. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control.

Atletico Mitre Analysis

Atletico Mitre approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 20:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almirante Brown Analysis

So far, Almirante Brown have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 31 points from 21 matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:13 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Mitre won 3 times, Almirante Brown won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:12 from Atletico Mitre's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)
H2H summary: Atletico Mitre wins 3, draws 2, Almirante Brown wins 4

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation