Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.17
Real Madrid1.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
Real Madrid
WLDWL
16 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
6
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
5
5.43
Shots on Goal
8.29
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Madrid
7 matches
Real Madrid
7 matches
| Atletico Madrid | Statistic | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 7 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 11 | Goals For | 16 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.29 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.57 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5.43 | Shots On Goal | 8.29 |
| 13.29 | Total Shots | 20.71 |
| 6.71 | Corners | 6.43 |
| 57.3% | Ball Possession | 58.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 5 times, Real Madrid won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:26 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 5, draws 4, Real Madrid wins 6
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Away
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
Home
|
38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2