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SPAIN › LA LIGA
16.09.2026 17:00
Metropolitano Stadium
Referee: F. Maeso
Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Osasuna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
J. David
Atletico Madrid
🟨
50'
Ademola Lookman
Atletico Madrid
⚽
54'
Lee Kang-In · Assist: J. David
Atletico Madrid
🔄
59'
R. Moro ↔ R. Garcia
Osasuna
🔄
59'
J. Dubasin ↔ K. Barja
Osasuna
🔄
60'
R. Garcia ↔ A. Budimir
Osasuna
⚽
63'
R. Le Normand
Atletico Madrid
🔄
68'
C. Romero ↔ M. Pubill
Atletico Madrid
🔄
68'
J. David ↔ G. Simeone
Atletico Madrid
🔄
68'
A. Lookman ↔ A. Ortiz
Atletico Madrid
🔄
71'
I. Arguibide ↔ J. Moncayola
Osasuna
🔄
75'
A. Osambela ↔ R. Del Castillo
Osasuna
⚽
82'
A. Baena · Assist: J. Cardoso
Atletico Madrid
🔄
85'
A. Grimaldo ↔ D. Hancko
Atletico Madrid
🔄
85'
J. Cardoso ↔ M. Hjulmand
Atletico Madrid
🟨
86'
Rubén García
Osasuna
🟨
90+3'
Abel Bretones
Osasuna

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
64.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 43.8%
Draw 20.4%
Osasuna Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.7
Osasuna1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
19 GF / 15 GA
Osasuna Osasuna
WLDWL
12 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
7
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
5
4.83
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 10 matches
Osasuna Osasuna 10 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Osasuna
5 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
4 Losses 4
19 Goals For 12
15 Goals Against 14
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
7 BTTS Yes 5
10 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
4.83 Shots On Goal 4.6
13.83 Total Shots 10.6
4.83 Corners 3.4
54.3% Ball Possession 50%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 13 times, Osasuna won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:9 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Osasuna 5-4-1
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 3, Osasuna 4
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 13, draws 0, Osasuna wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2