13.10.2026 19:00
Metropolitano Stadium

Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester United Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.78
Manchester United1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
25 GF / 16 GA
Manchester United Manchester United
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.08
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
8
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
6
6.13
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 12 matches
Manchester United Manchester United 12 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Manchester United
7 Wins 4
1 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
25 Goals For 23
16 Goals Against 16
2.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
11 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
6.13 Shots On Goal 6.33
15.88 Total Shots 22.33
5 Corners 7.17
56.9% Ball Possession 59.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 3 times, Manchester United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Manchester United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 3, draws 1, Manchester United wins 1

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 1 1 0 0 6:1 5 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:1 4 3
W
4 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 4:1 3 3
W
6 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
7 1 1 0 0 3:1 2 3
W
8 1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
9 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
10 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
11 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
12 1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
13 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
14 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
15 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
16 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
17 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
18 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
19 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
20 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
D
21 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
22 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
23 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
24 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
25 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
26 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
27 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
28 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
29 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
30 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
31 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
32 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
33 1 0 0 1 1:5 -4 0
L
34 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
35 1 0 0 1 1:6 -5 0
L
36 1 0 0 1 0:5 -5 0
L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)