SPAIN LA LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Metropolitano Stadium
Referee: I. Galech
Atletico Madrid
Match Timeline
Celta Vigo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Ilaix Moriba
Celta Vigo
🔄
20'
J. M. Gimenez ↔ R. Le Normand
Atletico Madrid
🔄
60'
A. Lookman ↔ N. Molina
Atletico Madrid
🔄
61'
A. Griezmann ↔ T. Almada
Atletico Madrid
62'
B. Iglesias · Assist: W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🟨
66'
Alex Baena
Atletico Madrid
🔄
68'
P. Duran ↔ I. Aspas
Celta Vigo
🔄
68'
B. Iglesias ↔ F. Jutgla
Celta Vigo
🔄
68'
A. Nunez ↔ S. Carreira
Celta Vigo
🔄
69'
A. Baena ↔ O. Vargas
Atletico Madrid
🔄
69'
↔ M. Cubo
Atletico Madrid
🟨
77'
Fer López
Celta Vigo
🔄
77'
W. Swedberg ↔ H. Alvarez
Celta Vigo
🔄
89'
O. Mingueza ↔ M. Ristic
Celta Vigo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Madrid Win 49.4%
Draw 15.5%
Celta Vigo Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Madrid1.67
Celta Vigo1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
WWDLW
108 GF / 72 GA
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WLDWL
74 GF / 65 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
33
BTTS Yes
33
34
Over 2.5
27
5.25
Shots on Goal
4.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 56 matches
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 51 matches
Atletico Madrid Statistic Celta Vigo
30 Wins 20
10 Draws 15
16 Losses 16
108 Goals For 74
72 Goals Against 65
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
33 BTTS Yes 33
46 Over 1.5 43
34 Over 2.5 27
22 Over 3.5 12
17 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 8
5.25 Shots On Goal 4.1
13.41 Total Shots 10.63
5.84 Corners 3.94
52% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Madrid expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Celta Vigo in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Celta Vigo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Celta Vigo.

Atletico Madrid Analysis

Atletico Madrid sit 4 with 63 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 58:37 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Sorloth (12 goals), J. Alvarez (8 goals), A. Griezmann (7 goals), with creative support from G. Simeone (6 assists), J. Alvarez (4 assists), Marcos Llorente (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 14 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Celta Vigo Analysis

Celta Vigo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 47 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 48:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Iglesias (13 goals), Ferran Jutglà (7 goals), Iago Aspas (5 goals), with creative support from J. Rueda (5 assists), Williot Swedberg (4 assists), Óscar Mingueza (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Madrid won 9 times, Celta Vigo won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:8 from Atletico Madrid's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Madrid 4-4-2 / Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Atletico Madrid 5, Celta Vigo 4
H2H summary: Atletico Madrid wins 9, draws 5, Celta Vigo wins 1
Stats
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
10 Corner Kicks 0
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 5
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Goal 1
10 Shots off Goal 1
6 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 1
4 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
561 Total passes 469
505 Passes accurate 403
2.18 expected_goals 0.13
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico Madrid
Formation
Celta Vigo
J. Oblak
J. Oblak
M. Pubill
M. Pubill
J. M. Gimenez
J. M. Gimenez
D. Hancko
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
M. Ruggeri
M. Llorente
M. Llorente
Koke
Koke
A. Baena
A. Baena
A. Lookman
A. Lookman
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
A. Sorloth
A. Sorloth
I. Radu
I. Radu
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
Y. Lago
Y. Lago
M. Alonso
M. Alonso
A. Nunez
A. Nunez
F. Lopez
F. Lopez
I. Moriba
I. Moriba
O. Mingueza
O. Mingueza
P. Duran
P. Duran
W. Swedberg
🎯
W. Swedberg
B. Iglesias
B. Iglesias
Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
J. Oblak
G
18
M. Pubill
D
2
J. M. Gimenez
↓ 20'
D
17
D. Hancko
D
3
M. Ruggeri
D
14
M. Llorente
M
6
Koke
M
10
A. Baena
↓ 69' 🟨 66'
M
22
A. Lookman
↓ 60'
M
7
A. Griezmann
↓ 61'
F
9
A. Sorloth
F
Substitutes
31
S. Esquivel
G
1
J. Musso
G
16
N. Molina
↑ 60'
D
21
O. Vargas
↑ 69'
M
4
R. Mendoza
M
47
J. Morcillo
M
15
C. Lenglet
D
24
R. Le Normand
↑ 20'
D
11
T. Almada
↑ 61'
M
34
J. Diaz
M
37
I. Luque
F
61
M. Cubo
↑ 69'
F
Celta Vigo 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
13
I. Radu
G
32
J. Rodriguez
D
29
Y. Lago
D
20
M. Alonso
D
14
A. Nunez
↓ 68'
M
8
F. Lopez
🟨 77'
M
6
I. Moriba
🟨 19'
M
3
O. Mingueza
↓ 89'
M
18
P. Duran
↓ 68'
F
19
W. Swedberg
🎯 62' ↓ 77'
F
7
B. Iglesias
⚽ 62' ↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
1
I. Villar
G
39
J. El Abdellaoui
F
12
M. Fernandez
D
36
A. Antanon
M
10
I. Aspas
↑ 68'
F
21
M. Ristic
↑ 89'
D
4
J. Aidoo
D
9
F. Jutgla
↑ 68'
F
5
S. Carreira
↑ 68'
D
24
C. Dominguez
D
22
H. Sotelo
M
23
H. Alvarez
↑ 77'
M
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
24.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
1
5
L
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
12.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Osasuna
2
1
W
05.05.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
0
1
L
02.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
22.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Elche
2
3
L
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
1
2
L
08.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
2
0
W
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
2
3
L
18.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
2
3
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
07.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
3
2
W
03.03.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
0
3
L
28.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
1
0
W
Last matches: Celta Vigo
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
23.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
12.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Levante
2
3
L
03.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Elche
3
1
W
26.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
2
L
22.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
1
L
16.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
12.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
3
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
22.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Alaves
3
4
L
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
12.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
1
1
D
06.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
2
L
01.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Girona
2
1
W
26.02.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
PAOK
1
0
W
22.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Mallorca
2
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
PAOK
2
1
W
H2H: Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
09.05.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
05.10.25
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
15.02.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
26.09.24
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
21.10.23
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
0
3
W
12.02.23
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
0
1
W
10.09.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
4
1
W
26.02.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
2
W
08.02.21
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
17.10.20
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
0
2
W
07.07.20
H2H
Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid
1
1
D
21.09.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
13.04.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Madrid
17.05.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Girona
1
0
W
29.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Arsenal
1
1
D
25.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
3
2
W
18.04.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
2
D
14.04.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
1
2
L
14.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Getafe
1
0
W
10.03.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
5
2
W
07.03.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
3
2
W
24.02.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Club Brugge KV
4
1
W
21.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
4
2
W
12.02.26
Cop
Atletico Madrid
Barcelona
4
0
W
08.02.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
0
1
L
28.01.26
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
L
25.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
3
0
W
18.01.26
La
Atletico Madrid
Alaves
1
0
W
13.12.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Valencia
2
1
W
29.11.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
26.11.25
UEF
Atletico Madrid
Inter
2
1
W
08.11.25
La
Atletico Madrid
Levante
3
1
W
H2H at home: Atletico Madrid
09.05.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
0
W
10.09.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
4
1
W
26.02.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
08.02.21
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
21.09.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
13.04.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
W
Last matches: Celta Vigo
18.07.26
Fri
Celta Vigo
SC Braga
2
2
D
17.05.26
La
Celta Vigo
Athletic Club
1
1
D
26.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Villarreal
1
2
L
22.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Barcelona
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
SC Freiburg
0
3
L
05.04.26
La
Celta Vigo
Valencia
3
2
W
19.03.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
Lyon
2
0
W
15.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Betis
1
1
D
01.03.26
La
Celta Vigo
Girona
2
1
W
19.02.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
PAOK
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Espanyol
2
2
D
01.02.26
La
Celta Vigo
Getafe
0
0
D
29.01.26
UEF
Celta Vigo
FK Crvena Zvezda
1
1
D
25.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Real Sociedad
1
3
L
12.01.26
La
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
0
W
20.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Oviedo
0
0
D
17.12.25
Cop
Celta Vigo
Albacete
2
2
D
07.12.25
La
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
2
0
W
04.12.25
Cop
Celta Vigo
Sant Andreu
0
0
D
27.11.25
UEF
Celta Vigo
Ludogorets
2
3
L
H2H away: Celta Vigo
09.05.26
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
12.05.24
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
1
0
L
10.09.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
4
1
L
26.02.22
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
L
08.02.21
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
2
D
21.09.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
13.04.19
H2H
Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
2
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2

Missing Players

Atletico Madrid 5 missing
-
P. Barrios
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Cardoso
Missing Fixture Contusion
OUT
-
N. Gonzalez
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Alvarez
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
G. Simeone
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
Celta Vigo 4 missing
-
M. Roman
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
M. Vecino
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
C. Starfelt
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
J. Rueda
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT