Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Grau
17 matches
UTC Cajamarca
19 matches
| Atletico Grau | Statistic | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 9 | Losses | 7 |
| 12 | Goals For | 23 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.06 | Shots On Goal | 4.29 |
| 11.41 | Total Shots | 12.18 |
| 4.24 | Corners | 4.59 |
| 47.1% | Ball Possession | 50.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward UTC Cajamarca. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 5-4-1 and UTC Cajamarca in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 16 points from 17 games and a place of 16, Atletico Grau still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 12:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on R. Ruidiaz (3 goals), Isaac Camargo (2 goals), A. Vasquez (1 goals), with creative support from C. Neira (2 assists), Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, UTC Cajamarca have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 18 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 21:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on Marlon de Jesús (4 goals), D. Camacho (3 goals), A. Arroyo (2 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (3 assists), M. Rasmussen (3 assists), A. Munoz (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 5 times, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:14 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.69 goals per game.
Atletico Grau
6
5
5
4
4
1
Lineups
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
Cusco
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
ADT
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 52 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 45 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:37 | -3 | 41 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 37 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Atletico Grau
Home
|
23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:23 | -4 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 24 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
UTC Cajamarca
Away
|
24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 27:42 | -15 | 15 |
L
L
L
D
L
|