PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Ambrosio Maco Arroyo
Referee: J. Alarcon
Atletico Grau
Match Timeline
Sport Boys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Oslimg Mora
Sport Boys
36'
Luciano Nequecaur · Assist: Mathias Llontop
Sport Boys
🟨
44'
Rafael Guarderas
Atletico Grau
🔄
46'
Carlos Zambrano ↔ Gustavo Dulanto
Sport Boys
🔄
59'
Aldair Vasquez ↔ Paulo de la Cruz
Atletico Grau
🔄
59'
Luis Benites ↔ Diego Barreto
Atletico Grau
🔄
59'
Mauro Da Luz ↔ Nicolás Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
🔄
62'
Luis Urruti ↔ Federico Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
62'
Jostin Alarcón ↔ Percy Liza
Sport Boys
🔄
63'
Pablo Erustes ↔ Carlos López
Sport Boys
🔄
66'
Elsar Rodas ↔ Gabriel Alfaro
Atletico Grau
🔄
78'
Adrián De la Cruz ↔ Yamir Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
🔄
80'
Luciano Nequecaur ↔ Renzo Alfani
Sport Boys
🟨
81'
Federico Illanes
Sport Boys
🟨
84'
Diego Barreto
Atletico Grau
🟨
88'
Carlos López
Sport Boys
🟨
90+2'
Gustavo Dulanto
Sport Boys

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Grau Win 58.8%
Draw 12.5%
Sport Boys Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Grau0.91
Sport Boys1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WLDWL
20 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
4.17
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 19 matches
Sport Boys Sport Boys 21 matches
Atletico Grau Statistic Sport Boys
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 9
15 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 23
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 7
4.17 Shots On Goal 4.05
11.61 Total Shots 13.58
4.11 Corners 4.84
46.5% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Sport Boys in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Boys having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sport Boys. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau are currently 13 in the standings with 19 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 15:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Rafael Guarderas (1 goals), Christian Neira (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Raúl Ruidíaz (1 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Boys Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Sport Boys have collected 20 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 15:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Nequecaur (2 goals), L. Urruti (1 goals), C. López (1 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcón (2 assists), L. Nequecaur (1 assists), L. Urruti (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 2 times, Sport Boys won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:12 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Grau 5-4-1 / Sport Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Grau wins 2, draws 5, Sport Boys wins 4
Stats
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
Sport Boys Sport Boys
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 0
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
412 Total passes 350
313 Passes accurate 258
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atletico Grau
Formation
Sport Boys
Patricio Álvarez
Patricio Álvarez
Diego Rodriguez
Diego Rodriguez
Rodrigo Tapia
Rodrigo Tapia
Ignacio Tapia
Ignacio Tapia
Elsar Rodas
Elsar Rodas
Rafael Guarderas
Rafael Guarderas
Adrián De la Cruz
Adrián De la Cruz
Luis Benites
Luis Benites
Aldair Vasquez
Aldair Vasquez
Mauro Da Luz
Mauro Da Luz
Adrián Fernández
Adrián Fernández
Diego Melián
Diego Melián
Emilio Saba
Emilio Saba
Carlos Zambrano
Carlos Zambrano
Hansell Riojas
Hansell Riojas
Mathias Llontop
🎯
Mathias Llontop
Hernan Da Campo
Hernan Da Campo
Oslimg Mora
Oslimg Mora
Jostin Alarcón
Jostin Alarcón
Pablo Erustes
Pablo Erustes
Luciano Nequecaur
Luciano Nequecaur
Luis Urruti
Luis Urruti
Atletico Grau 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Patricio Álvarez
G
4
Diego Rodriguez
D
27
Rodrigo Tapia
D
3
Ignacio Tapia
D
6
Elsar Rodas
↓ 66'
D
5
Rafael Guarderas
🟨 44'
M
66
Adrián De la Cruz
↓ 78'
M
96
Luis Benites
↓ 59'
M
20
Aldair Vasquez
↓ 59'
M
77
Mauro Da Luz
↓ 59'
M
99
Adrián Fernández
F
Substitutes
10
Paulo de la Cruz
↑ 59'
M
7
Diego Barreto
↑ 59' 🟨 84'
M
11
Nicolás Delgadillo
↑ 59'
F
25
Gabriel Alfaro
↑ 66'
D
24
Yamir Ruidiaz
↑ 78'
F
33
Aamet Calderón
G
8
Christian Vásquez
D
16
José Ataupillco
D
13
Freddy Oncoy
M
Sport Boys 4-3-3
Starting XI
22
Diego Melián
G
17
Emilio Saba
D
3
Carlos Zambrano
↓ 46'
D
26
Hansell Riojas
D
13
Mathias Llontop
🎯 36'
D
8
Hernan Da Campo
M
24
Oslimg Mora
🟨 25'
M
10
Jostin Alarcón
↓ 62'
M
32
Pablo Erustes
↓ 63'
F
9
Luciano Nequecaur
⚽ 36' ↓ 80'
F
11
Luis Urruti
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
55
Gustavo Dulanto
↑ 46' 🟨 90+2'
D
5
Federico Illanes
↑ 62' 🟨 81'
M
30
Percy Liza
↑ 62'
F
7
Carlos López
↑ 63' 🟨 88'
F
4
Renzo Alfani
↑ 80'
D
61
Jeferson Nolasco
G
29
Nilson Loyola
D
77
Yuriel Celi
M
14
Rolando Diaz
F
Last matches: Atletico Grau
08.08.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
0
0
D
25.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cusco
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Universitario
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
ADT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
1
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
L
Last matches: Sport Boys
09.08.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
25.07.26
Pri
Sport Boys
ADT
2
0
W
19.07.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cusco
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Universitario
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cienciano
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
ADT
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
H2H: Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys
01.08.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
14.02.26
H2H
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
0
L
23.09.25
H2H
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
3
D
14.09.24
H2H
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
05.04.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
0
D
21.08.23
H2H
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
1
1
D
02.04.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
0
W
29.09.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
0
W
07.05.22
H2H
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
2
1
L
09.08.20
H2H
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
22.02.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
2
3
L
Last matches: Atletico Grau
18.07.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
W
29.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.04.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sporting Cristal
4
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pri
Atletico Grau
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
H2H at home: Atletico Grau
01.08.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
3
D
05.04.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
0
D
02.04.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
0
W
29.09.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
0
W
22.02.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
2
3
L
Last matches: Sport Boys
19.07.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
0
3
L
09.03.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Cienciano
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
Sport Boys
ADT
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
Sport Boys
Universitario
1
0
W
H2H away: Sport Boys
01.08.26
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
3
D
05.04.24
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
0
0
D
02.04.23
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
0
L
29.09.22
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
3
0
L
22.02.20
H2H
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
2
3
W

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W D W D
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D W L W D
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
L W L L W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
D L W W W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
L D W W W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
L W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W W W L W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
W L W L L
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
W L D D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
D L L L L
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
D W W L W
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
D W L W L
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D L D L D
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D D D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
W L L D D
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
D L L W W
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
D W W L L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
D L W D L
Play-offs