PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
01.08.2026 20:30
Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo
Referee: J. Alarcon
Atletico Grau
Match Timeline
Sport Boys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Oslimg Mora
Sport Boys
36'
L. Nequecaur · Assist: M. Llontop
Sport Boys
🟨
44'
Rafael Guarderas
Atletico Grau
🔄
46'
C. Zambrano ↔ G. Dulanto
Sport Boys
🔄
59'
A. Vasquez ↔ P. de la Cruz
Atletico Grau
🔄
59'
M. Da Luz ↔ N. Delgadillo
Atletico Grau
🔄
59'
L. E. Benites Vargas ↔ D. Barreto
Atletico Grau
🔄
62'
L. Urruti ↔ F. Illanes
Sport Boys
🔄
62'
J. Alarcon ↔ P. Liza
Sport Boys
🔄
63'
P. Erustes ↔ C. Lopez
Sport Boys
🔄
66'
E. Rodas ↔ G. E. Alfaro Martinez
Atletico Grau
🔄
78'
A. de la Cruz ↔ Y. Ruidiaz
Atletico Grau
🔄
80'
L. Nequecaur ↔ R. Alfani
Sport Boys
🟨
81'
Federico Illanes
Sport Boys
🟨
84'
Diego Barreto
Atletico Grau
🟨
88'
Carlos López
Sport Boys
🟨
90+2'
Gustavo Dulanto
Sport Boys

Atletico Grau vs Sport Boys Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.8%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Grau Win 58.8%
Draw 12.5%
Sport Boys Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Grau0.91
Sport Boys1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Grau Atletico Grau
WWDLW
15 GF / 21 GA
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WLDWL
20 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
6
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
4.05
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 19 matches
Sport Boys Sport Boys 21 matches
Atletico Grau Statistic Sport Boys
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 5
10 Losses 9
15 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 23
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 7
4.05 Shots On Goal 4.05
11.47 Total Shots 13.58
4 Corners 4.84
45.9% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Grau expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Sport Boys in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Boys having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sport Boys. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atletico Grau Analysis

Atletico Grau are currently 13 in the standings with 19 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 15:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Raúl Ruidíaz (2 goals), Rafael Guarderas (1 goals), Christian Neira (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Guarderas (2 assists), Raúl Ruidíaz (1 assists), Elsar Rodas (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Boys Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Sport Boys have collected 20 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 15:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Nequecaur (2 goals), L. Urruti (1 goals), C. López (1 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcón (2 assists), L. Nequecaur (1 assists), L. Urruti (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Grau won 2 times, Sport Boys won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Atletico Grau's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Grau 5-4-1 / Sport Boys 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Grau wins 2, draws 6, Sport Boys wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 15 7 2 40:15 25 52
L D W D W
2 24 13 6 5 39:24 15 45
W W W D L
3 24 12 6 6 31:21 10 42
W W D W W
4 24 12 5 7 34:37 -3 41
L L L D W
5 24 11 6 7 40:28 12 39
L D W L D
6 24 12 3 9 36:36 0 39
W L W L W
7 24 11 4 9 39:35 4 37
L L D L W
8 24 9 7 8 34:29 5 34
W W D W L
9 24 9 7 8 26:23 3 34
W W D D W
10 24 8 5 11 38:38 0 29
L L W D W
11 24 7 8 9 32:33 -1 29
L W L W L
12 24 8 5 11 20:23 -3 29
W W W D L
13 24 7 6 11 35:50 -15 27
W W L D L
14 24 7 5 12 31:41 -10 26
W L L D W
15 24 6 7 11 23:33 -10 25
L W D L D
16 24 6 6 12 36:44 -8 24
W L L W L
17 24 5 7 12 27:36 -9 22
L L D D L
18 24 4 8 12 27:42 -15 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2