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14.11.2026 19:30
Estadio Antonio Accioly

Atletico Goianiense vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.4%
Odds 1.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.4%
1.07 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.25 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.09 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 52.5%
Draw 28.9%
Cuiaba Win 18.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.08
Cuiaba0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
W D L D D
5 GF / 5 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
L L L L L
2 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
18
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
10
4.49
Shots on Goal
4.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 37 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 37 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Cuiaba
15 Wins 11
13 Draws 14
9 Losses 12
45 Goals For 34
35 Goals Against 32
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
18 BTTS Yes 13
24 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 16
4.49 Shots On Goal 4.49
16.11 Total Shots 14.54
6.68 Corners 5.59
51% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cuiaba arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Goianiense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cuiaba.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

So far, Atletico Goianiense have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 55 points from 36 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, while the 42:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (11 goals), Soares Geovany (4 goals), Marrony (4 goals), with creative support from Soares Geovany (7 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Guilherme Lopes (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 13 with 47 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 11 defeats with a 33:30 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kauan (5 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Fábio Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 3 times, Cuiaba won 1 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 3, draws 10, Cuiaba wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 20 10 7 66:32 34 70
W W W D W
2 37 19 11 7 49:26 23 68
W D W D D
3 37 19 9 9 53:38 15 66
W D L D W
4 37 18 8 11 38:31 7 62
L W L W W
5 37 16 14 7 44:33 11 62
L D D W D
6 37 17 7 13 57:51 6 58
W L W L D
7 37 17 7 13 39:41 -2 58
W W W D W
8 37 15 13 9 45:35 10 58
W D L D D
9 37 14 13 10 50:42 8 55
L D W L D
10 37 15 9 13 49:50 -1 54
W L W L L
11 37 14 10 13 52:42 10 52
L W W L D
12 37 14 9 14 45:39 6 51
W D W W W
13 37 11 14 12 34:32 2 47
L L L L L
14 37 11 14 12 44:44 0 47
L W L D D
15 37 12 10 15 40:49 -9 46
L W L D L
16 37 11 10 16 38:47 -9 43
L L L D L
17 37 11 7 19 35:47 -12 40
W L L D W
18 37 8 8 21 45:58 -13 32
L L L W D
19 37 8 5 24 27:55 -28 29
W W W W L
20 37 3 6 28 21:79 -58 15
L L D D L
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