BRAZIL SERIE B
25.08.2026 22:30
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Referee: W. do Nascimento
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
Botafogo SP
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Marrony · Assist: Peixoto
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
21'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Joao Pedro
Atletico Goianiense
25'
Joao Pedro · Assist: Warley
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
41'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Ze Hugo ↔ Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Everton Morelli ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Hygor ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
🟨
54'
Ericson da Silva
Botafogo SP
🔄
58'
Geovany Soares ↔ Gustavo Maia
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
59'
Henrique Freitas ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
69'
Leandro Vilela
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
71'
Rafael Gava ↔ Kelvin
Botafogo SP
🔄
72'
Leandro Vilela ↔ Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
72'
Marrony ↔ Klebert
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
78'
Gabriel Inocencio ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
79'
Adriano Martins · Assist: Warley
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
83'
Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP

Atletico Goianiense vs Botafogo SP Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
-
Correct Score 1-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 44.5%
Draw 21.5%
Botafogo SP Win 34%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.02
Botafogo SP1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
24 GF / 23 GA
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WLDWL
28 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
12
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
9
4.39
Shots on Goal
3.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 23 matches
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 23 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Botafogo SP
8 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
6 Losses 8
24 Goals For 28
23 Goals Against 23
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 8
4.39 Shots On Goal 3.52
13.78 Total Shots 11.91
5.87 Corners 6.17
48.7% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botafogo SP.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense are currently 11 in the standings with 32 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (7 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Geovany Soares (2 goals), with creative support from Geovany Soares (3 assists), Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Marrony (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Botafogo SP Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Botafogo SP have collected 30 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 1 times, Botafogo SP won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 1, draws 4, Botafogo SP wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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