BRAZIL SERIE B
18.07.2026 21:00
Estádio Antônio Accioly
Referee: E. Batista
Atletico Goianiense
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
41'
Joao Miguel
Athletic Club
🟨
44'
Zeca
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Zeca ↔ Douglas Pele
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Diogo Batista ↔ Luiz Fernando
Athletic Club
🔄
58'
Klebert ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
58'
Leo Jaco ↔ Cristiano
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
60'
Jota ↔ G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
🔄
60'
D. Vera ↔ Pedro Oliveira
Athletic Club
🟨
67'
Leandro Vilela
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
68'
Luiz Fernando
Athletic Club
🔄
71'
Geovany Soares ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
71'
Guilherme ↔ Gabriel Dias
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
76'
Max ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
80'
Marrony ↔ Gustavo Daniel
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
81'
Léo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense

Atletico Goianiense vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico Goianiense Win 46.6%
Draw 22.6%
Athletic Club Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Goianiense1.05
Athletic Club1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WWDLW
19 GF / 19 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
16 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
0.94
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
10
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
4
4.35
Shots on Goal
3.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 17 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 17 matches
Atletico Goianiense Statistic Athletic Club
6 Wins 5
6 Draws 8
5 Losses 4
19 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 16
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 5
4.35 Shots On Goal 3.18
13.59 Total Shots 11.82
5.71 Corners 4.82
46.8% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atletico Goianiense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Athletic Club in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Athletic Club having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Athletic Club. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

Atletico Goianiense sit 10 with 24 points after 17 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Gustavo Coutinho (6 goals), Leo Jacó (3 goals), Guilherme Marques (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme Marques (3 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Bruno José (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 12 in the standings with 23 points from 17 matches. The record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (3 goals), Lucas Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (1 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Goianiense won 1 times, Athletic Club won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Atletico Goianiense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atletico Goianiense wins 1, draws 2, Athletic Club wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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