ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
29.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Atletico DE Rafaela
Match Timeline
Tristan Suarez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
M. Enrique
Tristan Suarez
🟨
32'
E. Wuattier
Atletico DE Rafaela
43'
M. Guzman
Tristan Suarez
🔄
46'
A. Gonzalez ↔ N. Cainelli
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
46'
G. Banuera ↔ N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🟨
58'
A. Gallo
Tristan Suarez
🔄
61'
M. Morello ↔ M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
61'
M. Quiroga ↔ J. Bonifacio
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
66'
A. Gallo ↔ M. Alvarez
Tristan Suarez
🔄
66'
D. Becker ↔ J. Beron
Tristan Suarez
69'
U. Yegros · Assist: A. Obando
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
72'
J. Cavallaro ↔ F. Jourdan
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
73'
M. Guzman
Tristan Suarez
🔄
76'
A. Obando ↔ M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
80'
J. Bonifacio · Assist: M. Bergia
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
81'
J. Bonifacio
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
85'
N. Fernandez ↔ D. Mastrangelo
Tristan Suarez
🔄
85'
M. Enrique ↔ K. Colli
Tristan Suarez
🟨
87'
J. Beron
Tristan Suarez
🟨
90+6'
B. Aguilar
Tristan Suarez
🟨
90+6'
Atletico DE Rafaela
Atletico DE Rafaela

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.3%
Odds 3.18
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.3%
3.18
BTTS No
60.3%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.27
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.55
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 36.1%
Draw 12.5%
Tristan Suarez Win 51.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico DE Rafaela0.62
Tristan Suarez0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.08
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.54
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 27 matches
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 26 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Statistic Tristan Suarez
9 Wins 13
9 Draws 9
9 Losses 4
18 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 14
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.54
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 4
15 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Tristan Suarez's more proactive style and Atletico DE Rafaela's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tristan Suarez. Tristan Suarez look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tristan Suarez having the stronger overall control.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Atletico DE Rafaela have collected 35 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 45 points from 24 games, Tristan Suarez bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 26:13, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela won 3 times, Tristan Suarez won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:8 from Atletico DE Rafaela's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.5%)
Predicted formations: Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1 / Tristan Suarez 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico DE Rafaela wins 3, draws 3, Tristan Suarez wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation