ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
14.08.2026 23:30
Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Atletico DE Rafaela
Match Timeline
Defensores De Belgrano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
L. Flores
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
21'
A. Obando
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
31'
E. Aguirre
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
59'
F. Jourdan ↔ M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
59'
M. Quiroga ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
68'
J. Cavallaro ↔ M. Morello
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
71'
A. Benitez ↔ P. Moyano
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
74'
I. Gutierrez ↔ D. Garcia
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
79'
D. Garcia
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
82'
P. Moyano
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
87'
J. Capurro ↔ L. Moscoloni
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
87'
A. Obando ↔ M. Fernandez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
87'
E. Gonzalez ↔ N. Borsotti
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
87'
E. Aguirre ↔ L. Ciccolini
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
87'
J. Ardaiz ↔ F. Tcherkaski
Defensores De Belgrano

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.3%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 80.3%
Draw 6%
Defensores De Belgrano Win 13.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico DE Rafaela0.8
Defensores De Belgrano0.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.7
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
7
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 25 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 23 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Statistic Defensores De Belgrano
9 Wins 5
7 Draws 10
9 Losses 8
18 Goals For 16
22 Goals Against 21
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
7 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 0
13 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atletico DE Rafaela have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Defensores De Belgrano. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores De Belgrano having the stronger overall control.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

With 31 points from 23 games and a place of 8, Atletico DE Rafaela still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 17:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

Defensores De Belgrano sit 12 with 25 points after 22 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, while the 15:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela won 3 times, Defensores De Belgrano won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Atletico DE Rafaela's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1 / Defensores De Belgrano -
H2H summary: Atletico DE Rafaela wins 3, draws 6, Defensores De Belgrano wins 4

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 29 11 9 9 31:27 4 42
D L W W W
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
10 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation