BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Carneiro
Atlético Alagoinhas
Match Timeline
Jacuipense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
81'
Guilherme Queiroz
Jacuipense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlético Alagoinhas Win 44.4%
Draw 33.4%
Jacuipense Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlético Alagoinhas1.07
Jacuipense1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas
WWDLW
4 GF / 12 GA
Jacuipense Jacuipense
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
3
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlético Alagoinhas Atlético Alagoinhas 6 matches
Jacuipense Jacuipense 6 matches
Atlético Alagoinhas Statistic Jacuipense
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 1
5 Losses 3
4 Goals For 7
12 Goals Against 10
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Jacuipense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Jacuipense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 7 points while Atlético Alagoinhas sit 6 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jacuipense having the stronger overall control.

Atlético Alagoinhas Analysis

Atlético Alagoinhas approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 3 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 4:12 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Jacuipense Analysis

Jacuipense sit 5 with 7 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:10, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Thiago (2 goals), Adriano (1 goals), Alison Daniel (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Alagoinhas won 4 times, Jacuipense won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:19 from Atlético Alagoinhas's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.8%)
H2H summary: Atlético Alagoinhas wins 4, draws 5, Jacuipense wins 6
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
0
3
L
Last matches: Jacuipense
28.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
2
2
D
10.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
1
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
H2H: Atlético Alagoinhas vs Jacuipense
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
26.04.26
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
0
L
10.02.26
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
1
L
05.02.25
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
1
D
26.01.24
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
2
L
08.07.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
0
W
21.05.23
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
3
3
D
24.01.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
03.07.22
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
1
1
D
01.05.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
10.04.22
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
2
W
03.04.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
1
D
16.03.22
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
2
3
W
18.04.21
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
2
2
D
26.07.20
H2H
Jacuipense
Atlético Alagoinhas
0
1
W
Last matches: Atlético Alagoinhas
14.06.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSA
1
7
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
ASA
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
CSE
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Atlético Alagoinhas
Juazeirense
1
2
L
H2H at home: Atlético Alagoinhas
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
05.02.25
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
0
W
24.01.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
01.05.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
L
03.04.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
1
D
18.04.21
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
2
2
D
Last matches: Jacuipense
28.06.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Treze
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSA
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Jacuipense
CSE
2
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
Juazeirense
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Jacuipense
ASA
0
0
D
H2H away: Jacuipense
17.05.26
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
W
05.02.25
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
1
D
08.07.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
0
L
24.01.23
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
W
01.05.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
0
1
W
03.04.22
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
1
1
D
18.04.21
H2H
Atlético Alagoinhas
Jacuipense
2
2
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)