Atlas
Match Timeline
Toluca
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atlas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlas1.44
Toluca2.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlas
WWDLW
24 GF / 33 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
41 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.73
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
3.6
Shots on Goal
6.07
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlas
15 matches
Toluca
15 matches
| Atlas | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 2 |
| 24 | Goals For | 41 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.73 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 6.07 |
| 10.07 | Total Shots | 17.27 |
| 3.53 | Corners | 5 |
| 41.5% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 3 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Atlas's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atlas 3-4-2-1 / Toluca 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atlas wins 3, draws 6, Toluca wins 6
Stats
Atlas
Toluca
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
5
5
Blocked Shots
8
8
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Atlas
Formation
Toluca
C. Vargas
G. Aguirre
Matheus Doria
A. Mora
Gustavo Ferrareis
P. Ramirez
A. Rocha
S. Hernandez
D. Gonzalez
M. E. Garcia
U. Djurdjevic
L. Garcia
Bruno Mendez
F. Pereira
E. del Villar
S. Simon
F. Romero
M. Ruiz
J. Gallardo
J. Angulo
N. Castro
Paulinho
Atlas
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
C. Vargas
G
13
G. Aguirre
D
5
Matheus Doria
D
🟨 73'
4
A. Mora
D
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
M
15
P. Ramirez
M
26
A. Rocha
M
199
S. Hernandez
M
11
D. Gonzalez
F
8
M. E. Garcia
F
↓ 61'
32
U. Djurdjevic
F
↓ 80'
🟨 43'
Substitutes
14
C. Ramos
G
25
J. Rodriguez
D
44
R. Pier
D
218
J. San Martin
D
10
G. del Prete
F
16
A. Ramirez
M
27
V. H. Rios De Alba
M
↑ 61'
58
A. Gonzalez
F
7
M. Coccaro
F
↑ 80'
19
E. Aguirre
F
Toluca
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
4
Bruno Mendez
D
6
F. Pereira
D
25
E. del Villar
D
↓ 65'
19
S. Simon
M
🟨 44'
5
F. Romero
M
14
M. Ruiz
M
↓ 90+1'
🟨 41'
20
J. Gallardo
M
↓ 90+1'
10
J. Angulo
F
8
N. Castro
F
↓ 86'
26
Paulinho
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
2
D. Barbosa
D
3
A. Briseno
D
17
M. Isais
D
↑ 90+1'
7
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
M
↑ 86'
16
H. Herrera
M
↑ 90+1'
24
F. Arce
M
33
V. Arteaga
M
23
O. Virgen
F
31
R. Morales
F
↑ 65'
Last matches: Atlas
16.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
18.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
3
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Puebla
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
H2H: Atlas vs Toluca
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
3
L
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
L
26.08.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
W
21.08.21
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
1
2
L
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
W
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
L
23.01.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
1
W
Last matches: Atlas
16.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
2
L
10.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Puebla
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
08.02.26
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
31.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
0
W
10.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
1
0
W
05.01.26
Fri
Atlas
Monterrey
1
2
L
04.01.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
23.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Leon
2
0
W
04.10.25
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
3
1
W
H2H at home: Atlas
01.11.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
3
L
26.08.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
21.08.21
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
1
2
L
23.01.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
1
W
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
H2H away: Toluca
01.11.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
3
W
26.08.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
21.08.21
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
1
2
W
23.01.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
1
L
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 |
Atlas
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs