Atlas
Match Timeline
Toluca
Atlas vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atlas Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlas1.44
Toluca2.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlas
WWDLW
24 GF / 33 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
41 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
2.73
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
3.6
Shots on Goal
6.07
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlas
15 matches
Toluca
15 matches
| Atlas | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 2 |
| 24 | Goals For | 41 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.73 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 6.07 |
| 10.07 | Total Shots | 17.27 |
| 3.53 | Corners | 5 |
| 41.5% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 3 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Atlas's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atlas 3-4-2-1 / Toluca 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atlas wins 3, draws 6, Toluca wins 6
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 |
Atlas
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
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