MEXICO › LIGA MX

16.08.2026 03:10

Atlas

2 - 1

Tigres UANL

Estadio Jalisco

Referee: C. A. Ramos

Atlas

Match Timeline

Tigres UANL

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Atlas vs Tigres UANL Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 41.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 75%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	41.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	75%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Atlas Win 41.6%

Draw 17.5%

Tigres UANL Win 40.9%

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlas1.09

Tigres UANL1.5

Recent Form (Last 5)

Atlas

WWDLW

8 GF / 12 GA

Tigres UANL

WLDWL

21 GF / 18 GA

Key Stats

0.89

Average Goals Scored

1.62

1.33

Average Goals Conceded

1.38

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.33

Shots on Goal

5.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlas 9 matches

Tigres UANL 13 matches

Atlas	Statistic	Tigres UANL
2	Wins	5
2	Draws	4
5	Losses	4
8	Goals For	21
12	Goals Against	18
0.89	Avg Goals Scored	1.62
1.33	Avg Goals Conceded	1.38
3	BTTS Yes	8
4	Over 1.5	10
3	Over 2.5	7
2	Over 3.5	6
3	Clean Sheets	4
5	Failed To Score	2
4.33	Shots On Goal	5.08
9.67	Total Shots	15.5
4.33	Corners	6.33
48%	Ball Possession	54.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 4 times, Tigres UANL won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Atlas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (82.5%)

Predicted formations: Atlas 3-1-4-2 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Atlas wins 4, draws 5, Tigres UANL wins 6

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22:11	11	21	D W D L W
2	Toluca	11	6	2	3	25:15	10	20	L D L W W
3	Club Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20	W W D W W
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19	D L D W W
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18	D W D W L
6	Atlas Home	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18	D W D L D
7	Cruz Azul	11	5	2	4	22:21	1	17	D D L W W
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15	D L D L W
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15	D L D L W
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14	D L W D L
11	CF Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18:14	4	13	D L D W W
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	11	3	4	4	17:19	-2	13	D L D L W
13	Tigres UANL Away	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13	W W L D D
14	Santos Laguna	11	4	1	6	12:16	-4	13	W W W W L
15	Atletico San Luis	11	3	3	5	15:20	-5	12	L W W L L
16	Atlante FC	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11	L W D L D
17	Necaxa	11	2	3	6	15:23	-8	9	D L L L D
18	FC Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4	D L W L L

Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)