Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
82.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
54.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- |
Atlas
Tigres UANL
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlas
32 matches
Tigres UANL
38 matches
| Atlas | Statistic | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 18 |
| 9 | Draws | 11 |
| 13 | Losses | 9 |
| 39 | Goals For | 67 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.41 | Shots On Goal | 5.29 |
| 10.63 | Total Shots | 15.11 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 5.61 |
| 44.6% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Tigres UANL's more proactive style and Atlas's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlas expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Tigres UANL in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tigres UANL having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tigres UANL.
So far, Atlas have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Uroš Đurđević (12 goals), D. Gonzalez (6 goals), A. Gonzalez (5 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez (6 assists), Gustavo Ferrareis (3 assists), E. Aguirre (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Tigres UANL are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Juan Brunetta (16 goals), A. Correa (15 goals), D. Lainez (6 goals), with creative support from Juan Brunetta (8 assists), A. Correa (8 assists), D. Lainez (7 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlas won 3 times, Tigres UANL won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:18 from Atlas's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Atlas
0
3
2
8
1
2
Lineups
Atlas
Leon
Atlas
Puebla
Atlas
Necaxa
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
Atlas
Cruz Azul
Atlas
Cruz Azul
Atlas
Club America
Atlas
Santos Laguna
Atlas
Monterrey
Atlas
Leon
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Club Queretaro
Atlas
Toluca
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Club Tijuana
Atlas
FC Juarez
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
Atlas
CF Pachuca
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Atlas
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Club America
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Club America
Atlas
Puebla
Atlas
Necaxa
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
Atlas
Cruz Azul
Atlas
Monterrey
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Club Queretaro
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Club Tijuana
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Atlas
Mazatlán
Atlas
Puebla
Atlas
Monterrey
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
Toluca
Atlas
Leon
Atlas
FC Juarez
Atlas
Necaxa
Atlas
Santos Laguna
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Club America
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
Puebla
Tigres UANL
Club America
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
Forge
Tigres UANL
Leon
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Atlas
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
Away
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|