MEXICO LIGA MX
15.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Banorte
Referee: Salvador Perez Villalobos, Mexico
Atlante FC
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Aarón Quirós
Atlante FC
🔄
29'
E. Jimenez ↔ W. Clar
Atlante FC
🔄
53'
O. Vazquez ↔ Martin Sarrafiore
Atlante FC
🔄
60'
J. Angulo ↔ Helinho
Toluca
🔄
60'
D. Barbosa ↔ P. Perez
Toluca
🔄
74'
E. Gutierrez ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
75'
L. Garcia ↔ H. Gonzalez
Toluca
🔄
80'
L. Puente ↔ J. Moxica
Atlante FC
🔄
82'
J. Diaz Price ↔ V. Guzman
Toluca
🟨
90+9'
Nicolas Carrera
Atlante FC

Atlante FC vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlante FC Win 31.1%
Draw 22.3%
Toluca Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlante FC1.53
Toluca2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
28 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
9
4.67
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlante FC Atlante FC 7 matches
Toluca Toluca 12 matches
Atlante FC Statistic Toluca
1 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
12 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 15
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 7
10.33 Total Shots 18.7
4 Corners 4.6
37.7% Ball Possession 61.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Atlante FC won 0 times, Toluca won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Atlante FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlante FC 5-3-2 / Toluca 5-3-2
H2H summary: Atlante FC wins 0, draws 2, Toluca wins 0

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 18:6 12 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 2 1 15:6 9 17
W W D W W
3 7 5 1 1 15:6 9 16
L W W W W
4 8 5 0 3 16:14 2 15
W W W L L
5 7 4 1 2 10:7 3 13
W W L D W
6 8 4 1 3 11:9 2 13
W L D W W
7 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
L W L W D
8 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L W L W W
9 8 4 1 3 12:14 -2 13
L D L W W
10 8 3 2 3 13:8 5 11
W W D D L
11 8 3 2 3 11:12 -1 11
L W L D D
12 7 3 1 3 13:10 3 10
D L L W W
13 8 2 2 4 9:13 -4 8
L D L D L
14 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
D D D W L
15 8 1 4 3 7:12 -5 7
L D D L D
16 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
L L W D L
17 8 1 1 6 6:13 -7 4
W L D L L
18 8 0 0 8 4:23 -19 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)