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MEXICO › LIGA MX
15.08.2026 23:00
Estadio Banorte
Referee: Salvador Perez Villalobos, Mexico
Atlante FC
Match Timeline
Toluca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Aarón Quirós
Atlante FC
🔄
29'
E. Jimenez ↔ W. Clar
Atlante FC
🔄
53'
O. Vazquez ↔ Martin Sarrafiore
Atlante FC
🔄
60'
J. Angulo ↔ Helinho
Toluca
🔄
60'
D. Barbosa ↔ P. Perez
Toluca
🔄
74'
E. Gutierrez ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
75'
L. Garcia ↔ H. Gonzalez
Toluca
🔄
80'
L. Puente ↔ J. Moxica
Atlante FC
🔄
82'
J. Diaz Price ↔ V. Guzman
Toluca
🟨
90+9'
Nicolas Carrera
Atlante FC

Atlante FC vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlante FC Win 31.1%
Draw 22.3%
Toluca Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlante FC1.53
Toluca2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WWDLW
12 GF / 14 GA
Toluca Toluca
WLDWL
28 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
2.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
9
4.67
Shots on Goal
7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlante FC Atlante FC 7 matches
Toluca Toluca 12 matches
Atlante FC Statistic Toluca
1 Wins 6
4 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
12 Goals For 28
14 Goals Against 15
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 7
10.33 Total Shots 18.7
4 Corners 4.6
37.7% Ball Possession 61.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Atlante FC won 0 times, Toluca won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:3 from Atlante FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlante FC 5-3-2 / Toluca 5-3-2
H2H summary: Atlante FC wins 0, draws 2, Toluca wins 0

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)