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ARGENTINA › PRIMERA NACIONAL
11.10.2026 18:00
Atlanta
Match Timeline
San Martin Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
R. Ayala
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
59'
G. Carabajal ↔ M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
64'
R. Moreira ↔ P. Ostachuk
Atlanta
🟨
69'
A. Graneros
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
70'
A. Veliez ↔ L. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
71'
R. Sosa ↔ D. Arguello
Atlanta
🔄
71'
F. Romero ↔ F. Caceres
Atlanta
🔄
71'
A. Graneros ↔ A. Cisnero
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
73'
V. Salazar
San Martin Tucuman
⚽
74'
P. Ostachuk
Atlanta
🔄
78'
I. Rodriguez ↔ G. Mendoza
Atlanta
🔄
78'
B. Rivero ↔ C. Bernardi
Atlanta
🔄
82'
S. Brinone ↔ A. Paz
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
82'
R. Ayala ↔ J. P. Valdez
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
90+4'
F. Caceres
Atlanta

Atlanta vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlanta Win 68.4%
Draw 5.6%
San Martin Tucuman Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta1.08
San Martin Tucuman1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta Atlanta
W W D W W
7 GF / 2 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
W D L W L
8 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
12
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta Atlanta 33 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 34 matches
Atlanta Statistic San Martin Tucuman
17 Wins 10
4 Draws 15
12 Losses 9
38 Goals For 36
32 Goals Against 33
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
12 BTTS Yes 15
19 Over 1.5 24
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 4
15 Clean Sheets 13
9 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control. Atlanta come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Martin Tucuman. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Atlanta Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 55 points from 32 games, Atlanta bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 17 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:30, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman sit 10 with 43 points after 32 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 35:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta won 3 times, San Martin Tucuman won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from Atlanta's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Atlanta wins 3, draws 2, San Martin Tucuman wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 14 4 33:15 18 62
W D D W D
2 34 16 12 6 41:28 13 60
D W W L W
3 34 16 10 8 51:42 9 58
W D L D D
4 34 18 4 12 40:33 7 58
L W W W D
5 34 14 10 10 37:31 6 52
W D L W L
6 34 14 9 11 40:29 11 51
L W D L W
7 34 14 8 12 35:31 4 50
W D W W L
8 34 13 9 12 40:33 7 48
L D W W D
9 34 12 11 11 36:34 2 47
D D L L W
10 34 11 13 10 38:35 3 46
W L W D L
11 34 12 9 13 28:34 -6 45
W L L L W
12 34 11 8 15 31:41 -10 41
L W W L L
13 34 10 10 14 27:38 -11 40
L W D L W
14 34 10 9 15 30:29 1 39
L L D W L
15 34 7 16 11 29:33 -4 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 6 18 26:35 -9 36
W L W L W
17 34 9 9 16 24:33 -9 36
L L L W D
18 34 6 8 20 25:57 -32 26
W L L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation