ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlanta Win 67.5%
Draw 4.8%
San Martin S.J. Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta1.08
San Martin S.J.1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta Atlanta
WWDLW
31 GF / 27 GA
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J.
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
11
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta Atlanta 26 matches
San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 26 matches
Atlanta Statistic San Martin S.J.
13 Wins 9
3 Draws 9
10 Losses 8
31 Goals For 28
27 Goals Against 24
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
11 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 1
11 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Atlanta's more proactive style and San Martin S.J.'s more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin S.J. having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atlanta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Atlanta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 39 points compared to San Martin S.J. in 13 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward San Martin S.J.. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta sit 4 with 39 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 30:25, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

San Martin S.J. Analysis

San Martin S.J. are currently 13 in the standings with 29 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 23:23 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta won 4 times, San Martin S.J. won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:2 from Atlanta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Atlanta wins 4, draws 0, San Martin S.J. wins 0
Last matches: Atlanta
22.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
15.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
3
L
09.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
2
4
L
27.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
1
3
L
14.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
1
0
W
04.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Midland
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
Last matches: San Martin S.J.
22.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
1
W
16.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
05.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Almagro
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
San Martin S.J.
Platense
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Patronato
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Colegiales
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Quilmes
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Midland
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
28.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
H2H: Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.
14.04.26
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
1
2
W
18.09.22
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
0
1
W
11.04.20
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
0
0
D
20.10.19
H2H
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
3
1
W
12.06.17
H2H
San Martin S.J.
Atlanta
0
3
W
Last matches: Atlanta
09.08.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
0
W
27.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Almagro
1
3
L
14.07.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
17.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Patronato
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
0
W
19.05.19
Pri
Atlanta
Talleres Remedios
3
0
W
04.05.19
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
3
0
W
20.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
Defensores Unidos
1
0
W
06.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
Sacachispas
0
0
D
03.04.19
Pri
Atlanta
UAI Urquiza
3
0
W
23.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
All Boys
1
0
W
14.03.19
Pri
Atlanta
Barracas Central
1
1
D
H2H at home: Atlanta
20.10.19
H2H
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
3
1
W
Last matches: San Martin S.J.
16.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Racing Cordoba
0
0
D
09.08.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
San Martin Tucuman
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Agropecuario
1
2
L
12.07.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
13.06.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Temperley
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Almagro
2
1
W
13.05.26
Cop
San Martin S.J.
Platense
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Colegiales
0
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Midland
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
01.03.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Tristan Suarez
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
San Martin S.J.
Chacarita Juniors
1
1
D
H2H away: San Martin S.J.
20.10.19
H2H
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
3
1
L

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
9 25 9 8 8 18:19 -1 35
D W D W L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 25 5 6 14 21:43 -22 21
D D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation