Atlanta United FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
63.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlanta United FC
22 matches
New York Red Bulls
24 matches
| Atlanta United FC | Statistic | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 27 | Goals For | 42 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.17 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 5.28 |
| 12.83 | Total Shots | 14.11 |
| 4.78 | Corners | 6 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 52.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors New York Red Bulls. Atlanta United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. New York Red Bulls carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 8 with 25 points while Atlanta United FC sit 15 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlanta United FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and New York Red Bulls in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York Red Bulls having the stronger overall control.
Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 12 points from 18 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 19:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Saba Lobzhanidze (2 goals), Ajani Fortune (2 goals), Miguel Almirón (2 goals), with creative support from Aleksey Miranchuk (3 assists), Saba Lobzhanidze (1 assists), Elías Báez (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
New York Red Bulls sit 8 with 25 points after 18 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 29:39 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Ruvalcaba (7 goals), Julian Hall (4 goals), Cade Cowell (2 goals), with creative support from Julian Hall (3 assists), Ronald Donkor (3 assists), Emil Forsberg (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 4 times, New York Red Bulls won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | 15 | 46 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
Away
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
Home
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|