Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
71.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Atlanta United FC
New York City FC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atlanta United FC
30 matches
New York City FC
31 matches
| Atlanta United FC | Statistic | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 12 |
| 38 | Goals For | 45 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.92 | Shots On Goal | 4.65 |
| 12.85 | Total Shots | 11.62 |
| 5 | Corners | 3.81 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 54.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights New York City FC's more proactive style and Atlanta United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward New York City FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlanta United FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and New York City FC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward New York City FC having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 25 matches. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 14 defeats with a 29:43 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Lobzhanidze (4 goals), M. Almirón (3 goals), A. Fortune (2 goals), with creative support from A. Miranchuk (3 assists), S. Lobzhanidze (2 assists), E. Báez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
New York City FC sit 8 with 32 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 39:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nicolás Fernández (10 goals), Agustin Ojeda (3 goals), Hannes Wolf (3 goals), with creative support from Agustin Ojeda (6 assists), Nicolás Fernández (4 assists), Hannes Wolf (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 4 times, New York City FC won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:27 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
New York City FC
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Atlanta United FC
Home
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|