🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Referee: F. Bazakos
Atlanta United FC
Match Timeline
Los Angeles Galaxy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Stian Gregersen
Atlanta United FC
🟨
28'
Cooper Sanchez
Atlanta United FC
🟨
30'
Juan Berrocal
Atlanta United FC
🟨
53'
Jakob Glesnes
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
60'
M. Galarza ↔ A. Fortune
Atlanta United FC
🔄
65'
J. Haak ↔ M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
69'
A. Fortune · Assist: E. Baez
Atlanta United FC
🔄
71'
E. Latte Lath ↔ C. Togashi
Atlanta United FC
🔄
71'
S. Lobjanidze ↔ L. Brennan
Atlanta United FC
🔄
73'
H. Miller ↔ E. Thommy
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
73'
L. Sanabria ↔ E. Wynder
Los Angeles Galaxy
74'
Gabriel Pec · Assist: M. Reus
Los Angeles Galaxy
79'
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy
🔄
83'
C. Sanchez ↔ Sergio Santos
Atlanta United FC
🔄
83'
J. Berrocal ↔ E. Mihaj
Atlanta United FC
🔄
90+1'
J. Paintsil ↔ M. Yoshida
Los Angeles Galaxy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
73.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atlanta United FC Win 26.9%
Draw 27.5%
Los Angeles Galaxy Win 45.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta United FC1.35
Los Angeles Galaxy1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
WWDLW
20 GF / 21 GA
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
WLDWL
40 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.74
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
8
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
16
4.18
Shots on Goal
5.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 15 matches
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 23 matches
Atlanta United FC Statistic Los Angeles Galaxy
5 Wins 9
3 Draws 7
7 Losses 7
20 Goals For 40
21 Goals Against 32
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.74
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
8 BTTS Yes 15
12 Over 1.5 21
8 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 2
4.18 Shots On Goal 5.65
12.27 Total Shots 13.94
4.91 Corners 5.53
53.7% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Atlanta United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Los Angeles Galaxy.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 10 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Miranchuk (5 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (2 goals), S. Lobjanidze (2 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), A. Miranchuk (2 assists), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy are currently 10 in the standings with 13 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 16:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Joao Klauss (5 goals), M. Reus (4 goals), J. Paintsil (2 goals), with creative support from M. Reus (3 assists), Gabriel Pec (3 assists), J. Paintsil (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 3 times, Los Angeles Galaxy won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.1%)
Predicted formations: Atlanta United FC 4-3-3 / Los Angeles Galaxy 4-3-3
Missing players: Atlanta United FC 4, Los Angeles Galaxy 5
H2H summary: Atlanta United FC wins 3, draws 0, Los Angeles Galaxy wins 3
Stats
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 5
7 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 3
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 8
3 Shots outsidebox 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
446 Total passes 404
356 Passes accurate 327
1.06 expected_goals 2.14
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Atlanta United FC
Formation
Los Angeles Galaxy
L. Hoyos
L. Hoyos
T. Jacob
T. Jacob
S. Gregersen
S. Gregersen
J. Berrocal
J. Berrocal
E. Baez
🎯
E. Baez
T. Muyumba
T. Muyumba
A. Miranchuk
A. Miranchuk
C. Sanchez
C. Sanchez
M. Galarza
M. Galarza
S. Lobjanidze
S. Lobjanidze
E. Latte Lath
E. Latte Lath
J. Marcinkowski
J. Marcinkowski
M. Cuevas
M. Cuevas
J. Glesnes
J. Glesnes
C. Garces
C. Garces
J. Nelson
J. Nelson
J. Haak
J. Haak
E. Cerrillo
E. Cerrillo
Gabriel Pec
⚽ 2
Gabriel Pec
L. Sanabria
L. Sanabria
H. Miller
H. Miller
J. Paintsil
J. Paintsil
Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
L. Hoyos
G
55
T. Jacob
D
5
S. Gregersen
🟨 26'
D
6
J. Berrocal
↓ 83' 🟨 30'
D
3
E. Baez
🎯 69'
D
8
T. Muyumba
M
59
A. Miranchuk
M
48
C. Sanchez
↓ 83' 🟨 28'
M
88
M. Galarza
↓ 60'
M
11
S. Lobjanidze
↓ 71'
M
9
E. Latte Lath
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
42
J. Hibbert
G
30
C. Togashi
↑ 71'
F
19
Sergio Santos
↑ 83'
F
35
A. Fortune
⚽ 69' ↑ 60'
M
28
W. Reilly
M
47
M. Edwards
D
4
E. Mihaj
↑ 83'
D
18
P. Amador
D
20
L. Brennan
↑ 71'
M
Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
J. Marcinkowski
G
19
M. Cuevas
D
5
J. Glesnes
🟨 53'
D
25
C. Garces
D
14
J. Nelson
D
15
J. Haak
↓ 65'
M
6
E. Cerrillo
M
11
Gabriel Pec
⚽ 74' ⚽ 79'
M
8
L. Sanabria
↓ 73'
M
26
H. Miller
↓ 73'
M
28
J. Paintsil
↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
1
N. Micovic
G
18
M. Reus
🎯 74' ↑ 65'
M
4
M. Yoshida
↑ 90+1'
D
27
E. Thommy
↑ 73'
M
2
M. Yamane
D
22
E. Wynder
↑ 73'
M
16
I. Parente
M
24
R. Ramos
F
76
T. Elgersma
M
Last matches: Atlanta United FC
23.07.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Charlotte
2
2
D
18.07.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
0
1
L
24.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
0
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Orlando City SC
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
CF Montreal
3
1
W
25.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
2
1
W
22.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
0
2
L
12.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Chicago Fire
0
1
L
04.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
3
L
21.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
DC United
0
0
D
14.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
FC Cincinnati
0
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
FC Dallas
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
30.01.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Lexington
4
0
W
Last matches: Los Angeles Galaxy
23.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
St. Louis City
1
3
L
18.07.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
12.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
Club America
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Los Angeles Galaxy
El Salvador
0
3
L
24.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
1
3
L
03.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
2
1
W
22.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
1
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas
2
2
D
16.04.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
0
3
L
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
2
4
L
05.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mount Pleasant Academy
3
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
12.03.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mount Pleasant Academy
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
H2H: Atlanta United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy
09.05.26
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
25.08.24
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
2
0
L
25.07.22
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
2
0
L
03.08.19
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
22.04.18
H2H
Los Angeles Galaxy
Atlanta United FC
0
2
W
20.09.17
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
0
W
Last matches: Atlanta United FC
02.05.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
CF Montreal
3
1
W
22.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
New England Revolution
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Nashville SC
0
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Columbus Crew
1
3
L
21.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
DC United
0
0
D
14.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Philadelphia Union
3
1
W
08.03.26
Maj
Atlanta United FC
Real Salt Lake
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
FC Dallas
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
Atlanta United FC
Lexington
4
0
W
H2H at home: Atlanta United FC
09.05.26
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
03.08.19
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
20.09.17
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
0
W
Last matches: Los Angeles Galaxy
17.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
14.05.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting Kansas City
1
3
L
22.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Columbus Crew
1
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Dallas
2
2
D
11.04.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Austin
2
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Toluca
2
4
L
22.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Portland Timbers
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Mount Pleasant Academy
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
Los Angeles Galaxy
Colorado Rapids
1
4
L
20.02.26
CON
Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting San Miguelito
1
1
D
H2H away: Los Angeles Galaxy
09.05.26
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
W
03.08.19
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
L
20.09.17
H2H
Atlanta United FC
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 3 1 33:11 22 39
W W W W W
2 16 10 4 2 42:30 12 34
W W W W W
3 15 8 2 5 29:19 10 26
L W W W L
4 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
D L W L W
5 16 6 5 5 40:40 0 23
W W D L D
6 16 6 4 6 27:22 5 22
W L D W W
7 16 6 4 6 26:25 1 22
D W W L D
8 16 6 4 6 26:35 -9 22
L W D W W
9 16 4 7 5 22:26 -4 19
D D D L D
10 16 5 2 9 27:44 -17 17
W L D W L
11 16 4 4 8 22:25 -3 16
L W D L L
12 16 3 7 6 22:29 -7 16
D D L L L
13 16 4 3 9 22:32 -10 15
L D D L D
14 16 3 3 10 16:26 -10 12
D L L D L
15 16 2 4 10 21:31 -10 10
W L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Atlanta United FC 4 missing
-
Sergio Santos
Questionable Illness
OUT
-
M. Almiron
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Alzate
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
F. Picault
Questionable Injury
OUT
Los Angeles Galaxy 5 missing
-
R. Puig
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Nascimento
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Aude
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
E. Thommy
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
Joao Klauss
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT