Login Register
24.10.2026 23:30
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Referee: V. Rivas
Atlanta United FC
Match Timeline
Chicago Fire
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
T. Jacob · Assist: M. Almiron
Atlanta United FC
⚽
30'
A. Saletros
Chicago Fire
🟨
38'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Chicago Fire
🔄
46'
D. D'Avilla ↔ A. Mekvabishvili
Chicago Fire
⚽
51'
A. Mekvabishvili
Chicago Fire
🟨
59'
Lucas Hoyos
Atlanta United FC
⚽
60'
P. Zinckernagel · Assist: A. Saletros
Chicago Fire
🔄
61'
A. Miranchuk ↔ T. Muyumba
Atlanta United FC
🔄
61'
A. Fortune ↔ F. Picault
Atlanta United FC
⚽
67'
B. Embolo · Assist: E. Baez
Atlanta United FC
🔄
68'
P. Zinckernagel ↔ A. Gutman
Chicago Fire
🔄
68'
R. Lewandowski ↔ J. Gomez
Chicago Fire
🔄
68'
N. Allen ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🟨
74'
Paulo Díaz
Atlanta United FC
🟨
79'
Anzor Mekvabishvili
Chicago Fire
🔄
80'
P. Diaz ↔ M. Edwards
Atlanta United FC
🟨
81'
Mbekezeli Mbokazi
Chicago Fire
🟨
84'
Junior Alonso
Atlanta United FC
🟨
84'
Johan Gomez
Chicago Fire
🔄
87'
Giuliano Galoppo ↔ L. Brennan
Atlanta United FC
🔄
90+1'
J. Bamba ↔ L. Barroso
Chicago Fire

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlanta United FC Win 22.6%
Draw 20.3%
Chicago Fire Win 57.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta United FC1.37
Chicago Fire1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
L W L D W
8 GF / 8 GA
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
L L W W W
7 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
21
BTTS Yes
24
21
Over 2.5
25
4.07
Shots on Goal
5.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 34 matches
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 36 matches
Atlanta United FC Statistic Chicago Fire
10 Wins 16
8 Draws 9
16 Losses 11
45 Goals For 61
54 Goals Against 52
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
21 BTTS Yes 24
28 Over 1.5 28
21 Over 2.5 25
14 Over 3.5 14
6 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 5
4.07 Shots On Goal 5.2
13.2 Total Shots 14.27
5.03 Corners 4.5
51.5% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Chicago Fire's more proactive style and Atlanta United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Chicago Fire. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlanta United FC expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Chicago Fire in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Chicago Fire having the stronger overall control. Chicago Fire carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 48 points while Atlanta United FC sit 14 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

Atlanta United FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 30 points from 29 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 15 defeats with a 36:48 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Lobzhanidze (5 goals), M. Almirón (5 goals), A. Fortune (3 goals), with creative support from A. Miranchuk (3 assists), S. Lobzhanidze (2 assists), E. Báez (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 48 points after 29 outings. With 14 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 52:43, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Haile-Selassie (10 goals), Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), P. Zinckernagel (6 goals), with creative support from P. Zinckernagel (7 assists), M. Haile-Selassie (6 assists), R. Lewandowski (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 6 times, Chicago Fire won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:22 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlanta United FC 4-3-3 / Chicago Fire 4-4-2
Missing players: Atlanta United FC 2, Chicago Fire 4
H2H summary: Atlanta United FC wins 6, draws 4, Chicago Fire wins 5

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 23 8 3 71:25 46 77
W W D W D
2 34 16 12 6 80:59 21 60
D W D L W
3 34 18 4 12 55:47 8 58
L L W W W
4 34 16 7 11 64:54 10 55
L W D W L
5 34 15 9 10 66:51 15 54
D W W L D
6 34 14 8 12 66:52 14 50
W L D L D
7 34 14 5 15 59:52 7 47
W W W W W
8 34 13 7 14 63:78 -15 46
W L D D W
9 34 12 10 12 67:75 -8 46
L W D W W
10 34 12 6 16 48:62 -14 42
W L L W L
11 34 10 12 12 49:45 4 42
W D W D D
12 34 9 12 13 52:67 -15 39
L L W L W
13 34 9 6 19 43:60 -17 33
L W L L L
14 34 7 12 15 39:61 -22 33
L L L L L
15 34 6 8 20 37:69 -32 26
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)