🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
02.05.2026 23:30
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Referee: R. Vazquez
Atlanta United FC
Match Timeline
CF Montreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Emmanuel Latte Lath
Atlanta United FC
⚽
6'
M. Longstaff · Assist: P. Owusu
CF Montreal
🟨
20'
Samuel Piette
CF Montreal
⚽
41'
S. Lobjanidze · Assist: A. Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
🟨
44'
Prince Owusu
CF Montreal
⚽
45'
E. Latte Lath · Assist: A. Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
⚽
50'
S. Lobjanidze · Assist: C. Sanchez
Atlanta United FC
🔄
59'
S. Piette ↔ V. Loturi
CF Montreal
🔄
59'
O. Escobar ↔ N. Streit
CF Montreal
🔄
59'
W. Carmona ↔ D. Rios
CF Montreal
🔄
64'
S. Lobjanidze ↔ F. Picault
Atlanta United FC
🔄
64'
E. Latte Lath ↔ A. Fortune
Atlanta United FC
🔄
68'
Ivan Jaime ↔ M. Opoku
CF Montreal
🔄
72'
M. Galarza ↔ M. Edwards
Atlanta United FC
🔄
72'
S. Gregersen ↔ J. Berrocal
Atlanta United FC
🔄
74'
M. Longstaff ↔ F. Herbers
CF Montreal
🔄
76'
↔ L. Brennan
Atlanta United FC
🟨
77'
Lucas Hoyos
Atlanta United FC
🟨
90+5'
Tomás Jacob
Atlanta United FC
🟨
90+2'
Enea Mihaj
Atlanta United FC
🟥
90+1'
Brayan Vera
CF Montreal

Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 20.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 16.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
77.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
20.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
16.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlanta United FC Win 35.8%
Draw 41.9%
CF Montreal Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlanta United FC1.61
CF Montreal1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
WWDLW
17 GF / 20 GA
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WLDWL
23 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
12
4.1
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC 14 matches
CF Montreal CF Montreal 14 matches
Atlanta United FC Statistic CF Montreal
4 Wins 5
3 Draws 0
7 Losses 9
17 Goals For 23
20 Goals Against 31
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
4.1 Shots On Goal 4.22
11.7 Total Shots 10.78
5.1 Corners 3.67
53.8% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CF Montreal. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlanta United FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and CF Montreal in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Montreal having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atlanta United FC Analysis

With 7 points from 10 games and a place of 13, Atlanta United FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 9:17, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Miranchuk (5 goals), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 goals), F. Picault (1 goals), with creative support from M. Almiron (3 assists), Emmanuel Latte Lath (1 assists), E. Baez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 9 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 13:20 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on P. Owusu (6 goals), W. Carmona (3 goals), M. Longstaff (2 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (2 assists), W. Carmona (1 assists), M. Longstaff (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC won 6 times, CF Montreal won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from Atlanta United FC's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlanta United FC 4-1-4-1 / CF Montreal 4-3-3
Missing players: Atlanta United FC 3, CF Montreal 4
H2H summary: Atlanta United FC wins 6, draws 5, CF Montreal wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 26 12 10 4 63:48 15 46
D D D D W
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)