Athletic Club vs Vila Nova Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
62.9%
|
1.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
2.55 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.15 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
6.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
25 matches
Vila Nova
25 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 13 |
| 10 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 26 | Goals For | 37 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.08 | Shots On Goal | 4.04 |
| 11.24 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 4.32 | Corners | 5.04 |
| 43.7% | Ball Possession | 52.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Vila Nova's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vila Nova. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Vila Nova in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vila Nova having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Athletic Club are currently 10 in the standings with 34 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 25:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Max (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vila Nova come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 41 points from 24 matches. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 35:25 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through João Vieira (3 goals), Ryan Lima (3 goals), Rafael Silva (3 goals), with creative support from Marquinhos Gabriel (6 assists), Janderson (4 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 0 times, Vila Nova won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Athletic Club's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vila Nova
Away
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|