Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Athletic Club
18 matches
São Bernardo
18 matches
| Athletic Club | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 16 | Goals For | 24 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.11 | Shots On Goal | 3.94 |
| 11.61 | Total Shots | 10.56 |
| 4.61 | Corners | 3.83 |
| 44.4% | Ball Possession | 47.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights São Bernardo's more proactive style and Athletic Club's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and São Bernardo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors São Bernardo. São Bernardo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 17 matches, Athletic Club have collected 23 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (3 goals), Lucas Belezi (1 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (1 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 26 points from 17 games and a place of 7, São Bernardo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 23:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rodrigo Ferreira (3 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Pedro Vitor (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (3 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echaporã (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, São Bernardo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Athletic Club's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Athletic Club
5
11
2
4
3
5
Lineups
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
Ceara
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Avai
Athletic Club
Londrina
Athletic Club
Goias
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Juventude
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
CRB
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
Avai
Athletic Club
Goias
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
Athletic Club
Juventude
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Criciuma
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Ceara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Athletic Club
Home
|
24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|