BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: Y. Ferreira
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45+2'
Eric
Cuiaba
🔄
54'
Gabriel Moyses ↔ Samuel Otusanya
Athletic Club
🔄
54'
Max ↔ Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
61'
Eric Melo ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🔄
61'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Y. Asad
Cuiaba
🟨
65'
Kauan Rodrigues
Athletic Club
🟨
65'
João Basso
Cuiaba
🔄
68'
Kauan Cristtyan ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
75'
Pedro Oliveira ↔ G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
🟨
77'
Bruninho
Athletic Club
🔄
82'
Jota ↔ Gustavinho
Athletic Club
🔄
82'
Kauan Rodrigues ↔ D. Vera
Athletic Club
🔄
82'
Pepe ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🟨
87'
Lucas Belezi
Athletic Club

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 34.9%
Draw 27%
Cuiaba Win 38.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1
Cuiaba0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
9 GF / 9 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
6
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
0
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 7 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 7 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Cuiaba
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 1
9 Goals For 4
9 Goals Against 4
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 0.57
6 BTTS Yes 2
6 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 4
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.71
8.71 Total Shots 11.57
3.43 Corners 2.14
40.6% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cuiaba. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cuiaba in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 13 in the standings with 9 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Belezi (1 goals), Bruninho (1 goals), with creative support from Belezi (1 assists), Jota (1 assists), Ruan Assis (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cuiaba Analysis

With 8 points from 7 games and a place of 15, Cuiaba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats with a 4:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Hernandes (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), Joao Basso (1 goals), with creative support from Hernandes (1 assists), Eliel (1 assists), Pepê (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 0 times, Cuiaba won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Athletic Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-3-3 / Cuiaba 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 0, draws 1, Cuiaba wins 2
Stats
Athletic Club Athletic Club
Cuiaba Cuiaba
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Goal 1
2 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
438 Total passes 333
384 Passes accurate 268
0.54 expected_goals 0.47
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Athletic Club
Formation
Cuiaba
Luan Polli
Luan Polli
Diogo Batista
Diogo Batista
Jhonatan Silva
Jhonatan Silva
Belezi
Belezi
Zeca
Zeca
Joao Miguel
Joao Miguel
Jota
Jota
Pedro Oliveira
Pedro Oliveira
Kauan Rodrigues
Kauan Rodrigues
Gabriel Moyses
Gabriel Moyses
Max
Max
Marcelo Carne
Marcelo Carne
Gabriel Knesowitsch
Gabriel Knesowitsch
Joao Basso
Joao Basso
Eric Melo
Eric Melo
Raylan
Raylan
Calebe Costa
Calebe Costa
Raul
Raul
Marlon
Marlon
Kauan Cristtyan
Kauan Cristtyan
Pepe
Pepe
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Athletic Club 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Luan Polli
G
22
Diogo Batista
D
3
Jhonatan Silva
D
4
Belezi
🟨 87'
D
6
Zeca
D
16
Joao Miguel
M
15
Jota
↓ 82'
18
Pedro Oliveira
↓ 75'
M
17
Kauan Rodrigues
↓ 82' 🟨 65'
F
20
Gabriel Moyses
↓ 54'
11
Max
↓ 54'
F
Substitutes
26
Glauco
G
12
Jhonatan Luiz
G
10
Gustavinho
↑ 82'
M
8
G. Cabezas
↑ 75'
M
2
Douglas Pele
D
9
Samuel Otusanya
↑ 54'
F
7
Bruninho
↑ 54' 🟨 77'
F
19
Alexandre Pena
14
Gustavo Morais
D
21
D. Vera
↑ 82'
F
13
Felipe Vieira
23
Kauan Lindes
M
Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
Marcelo Carne
G
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D
13
Joao Basso
🟨 65'
D
14
Eric Melo
↓ 61' 🟨 45+2'
D
37
Raylan
M
5
Calebe Costa
M
30
Raul
M
6
Marlon
M
41
Kauan Cristtyan
↓ 68'
F
8
Pepe
↓ 82'
F
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
1
Joao Carlos
G
53
Weverson
↑ 82'
M
91
Luis Soares
↑ 61'
D
2
Nino Paraiba
D
7
Y. Asad
↑ 61'
F
19
Mateus Santos
F
17
Victor Barbara
M
49
Joao Araujo
29
Vinicius Peixoto
↑ 68'
F
Last matches: Athletic Club
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
Last matches: Cuiaba
23.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
02.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
1
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Londrina
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
1
0
W
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
CRB
2
0
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Criciuma
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ceara
0
2
L
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
21.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Sport Recife
0
0
D
H2H: Athletic Club vs Cuiaba
09.05.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
28.09.25
H2H
Cuiaba
Athletic Club
2
1
L
31.05.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
2
L
Last matches: Athletic Club
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Athletic Club
09.05.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
31.05.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
2
L
Last matches: Cuiaba
17.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Juventude
0
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Avai
0
1
L
09.06.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
22.05.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Goias
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Operario-PR
0
0
D
31.03.26
Ser
Cuiaba
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cuiaba
09.05.26
H2H
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
31.05.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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