BRAZIL SERIE B
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.9%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 35.6%
Draw 3.5%
Criciuma Win 60.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club0.81
Criciuma1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
23 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
12
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
4
3.25
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 20 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 20 matches
Athletic Club Statistic Criciuma
6 Wins 11
10 Draws 7
4 Losses 2
19 Goals For 23
18 Goals Against 12
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
12 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 3
3.25 Shots On Goal 3.75
11.55 Total Shots 13.1
4.3 Corners 6.1
44.3% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Criciuma. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Athletic Club sit 11 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Criciuma look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 11 in the standings with 28 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:18 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 40 points after 20 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a 23:12 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Rómulo Otero (2 goals), Marcelo Hermes (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 0 times, Criciuma won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Athletic Club's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-1-4-1 / Criciuma 3-4-3
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 0, draws 2, Criciuma wins 1
Last matches: Athletic Club
28.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
13.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ceara
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Londrina
0
2
L
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
CRB
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
Last matches: Criciuma
26.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Vila Nova
2
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Sport Recife
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
São Bernardo
1
0
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ceara
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
Londrina
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
CRB
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
10.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H: Athletic Club vs Criciuma
02.04.26
H2H
Criciuma
Athletic Club
1
1
D
19.08.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
17.04.25
H2H
Criciuma
Athletic Club
4
0
L
Last matches: Athletic Club
23.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Operario-PR
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Avai
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Goias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Juventude
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Cuiaba
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Athletic Club
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
H2H at home: Athletic Club
19.08.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D
Last matches: Criciuma
21.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Novorizontino
1
0
W
08.07.26
Ser
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
2
1
W
23.06.26
Ser
Criciuma
America Mineiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Avai
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Operario-PR
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Juventude
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Criciuma
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
2
3
L
07.04.26
Ser
Criciuma
Goias
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
H2H away: Criciuma
19.08.25
H2H
Athletic Club
Criciuma
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 11 7 2 23:12 11 40
D W W W W
2 20 10 5 5 22:12 10 35
W L W W D
3 20 10 5 5 28:25 3 35
L W D W W
4 20 10 4 6 23:19 4 34
W L W L W
5 20 10 4 6 27:24 3 34
L W L L W
6 20 9 6 5 32:19 13 33
W L L L W
7 20 8 7 5 23:20 3 31
W W D W L
8 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
9 20 8 5 7 21:26 -5 29
L D W D W
10 20 6 11 3 25:19 6 29
D D D D L
11 20 6 10 4 19:18 1 28
D W D D L
12 20 7 6 7 28:23 5 27
L L D D L
13 20 7 4 9 24:24 0 25
D W L L D
14 20 5 10 5 15:15 0 25
D L L D W
15 20 6 6 8 24:21 3 24
L W D D W
16 20 5 7 8 20:25 -5 22
W L D D L
17 20 5 5 10 27:31 -4 20
L L D D W
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 20 2 5 13 14:31 -17 11
W L D D L
20 20 2 3 15 15:39 -24 9
D L L L L
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