BRAZIL SERIE B
20.08.2026 22:30
Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Referee: G. Bauermann
Athletic Club
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
Zeca ↔ Diogo Batista
Athletic Club
33'
Dada Belmonte · Assist: Crystopher Ribeiro
CRB
🔄
46'
J. Pool ↔ Yago Santos
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Carlinhos ↔ W. Aponza
Athletic Club
🔄
46'
Jota ↔ D. Vera
Athletic Club
56'
Mikael · Assist: Danielzinho
CRB
🔄
63'
Kevin ↔ Hereda
CRB
🔄
63'
Crystopher Ribeiro ↔ De Lucca
CRB
🟨
64'
Wilinton Aponzá
Athletic Club
🟨
69'
Thiaguinho
CRB
🔄
73'
Jhonatan Silva ↔ G. Cabezas
Athletic Club
🔄
74'
Thiaguinho ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
77'
↔ Vinicius Barata
CRB
🔄
79'
Danielzinho ↔ Fabio Alemao
CRB
🟨
90'
Max
Athletic Club

Athletic Club vs CRB Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.3%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Athletic Club Win 41.3%
Draw 16.4%
CRB Win 42.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club1.23
CRB1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WWDLW
24 GF / 19 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
32 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.45
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
13
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
12
3.32
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Athletic Club Athletic Club 22 matches
CRB CRB 22 matches
Athletic Club Statistic CRB
8 Wins 9
10 Draws 6
4 Losses 7
24 Goals For 32
19 Goals Against 32
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
13 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 5
3.32 Shots On Goal 5.5
11.45 Total Shots 16.77
4.32 Corners 4.82
44% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Athletic Club's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CRB. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Athletic Club expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and CRB in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. CRB look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Athletic Club Analysis

Athletic Club are currently 11 in the standings with 31 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, while the 21:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronaldo Tavares (5 goals), Ian Luccas (4 goals), Max (2 goals), with creative support from Ian Luccas (2 assists), Lucas Belezi (2 assists), Diogo Batista de Souza (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

CRB Analysis

CRB sit 7 with 32 points after 21 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:32 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mikael (12 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (4 assists), Mikael (3 assists), Thiaguinho (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Athletic Club won 1 times, CRB won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:9 from Athletic Club's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Athletic Club 4-1-4-1 / CRB 4-3-3
H2H summary: Athletic Club wins 1, draws 0, CRB wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7
CRB Away
29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation