URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Atenas Win 61%
Draw 4.1%
Colón Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atenas1.21
Colón1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atenas Atenas
WWDLW
23 GF / 23 GA
Colón Colón
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atenas Atenas 17 matches
Colón Colón 17 matches
Atenas Statistic Colón
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 6
8 Losses 5
23 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 17
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 5
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colón. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Colón having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atenas Analysis

Atenas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 19 points after 10 outings. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 18:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Colón Analysis

Colón approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 15 points after 10 outings. The return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 10:9, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Atenas won 1 times, Colón won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Atenas's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
H2H summary: Atenas wins 1, draws 3, Colón wins 1
Last matches: Atenas
26.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
0
1
L
12.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Rentistas
1
3
L
06.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Miramar
1
1
D
27.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
20.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Plaza Colonia
2
1
W
14.06.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
4
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
2
L
31.05.26
Seg
Atenas
CA River Plate
2
0
W
23.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Paysandu
3
2
W
17.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
0
1
L
08.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
27.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
1
4
L
18.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
1
2
L
31.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
21.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Cerrito
1
3
L
15.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Sportivo Huracan
1
1
D
29.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
22.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
0
0
D
15.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
2
D
Last matches: Colón
25.07.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
3
L
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
05.07.26
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
20.06.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
2
1
W
13.06.26
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
30.05.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
12.04.26
Seg
Colón
CA River Plate
4
2
W
04.04.26
Seg
Colón
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
1
2
L
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
15.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
08.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
26.10.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
1
0
W
H2H: Atenas vs Colón
30.08.25
H2H
Atenas
Colón
1
1
D
08.06.25
H2H
Colón
Atenas
0
1
W
17.08.24
H2H
Colón
Atenas
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Atenas
Colón
0
0
D
13.04.24
H2H
Colón
Atenas
2
1
L
Last matches: Atenas
12.07.26
Seg
Atenas
Rentistas
1
3
L
27.06.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
0
W
14.06.26
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
4
0
W
23.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Paysandu
3
2
W
08.05.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
2
1
W
27.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
1
4
L
18.04.26
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
31.03.26
Seg
Atenas
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
29.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Deportivo Maldonado
0
1
L
15.11.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
2
2
D
19.10.25
Seg
Atenas
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
28.09.25
Seg
Atenas
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
13.09.25
Seg
Atenas
La Luz
2
3
L
30.08.25
Seg
Atenas
Colón
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
Atenas
Oriental
1
2
L
10.08.25
Seg
Atenas
Albion FC
0
1
L
03.08.25
Seg
Atenas
Fenix
1
0
W
20.07.25
Seg
Atenas
Artigas
1
1
D
14.07.25
Seg
Atenas
Central Espanol
0
1
L
29.06.25
Seg
Atenas
Rentistas
0
2
L
H2H at home: Atenas
30.08.25
H2H
Atenas
Colón
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Atenas
Colón
0
0
D
Last matches: Colón
11.07.26
Seg
Colón
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
1
1
D
07.06.26
Seg
Colón
Rentistas
2
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
0
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Colón
La Luz
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Colón
Miramar
0
0
D
23.03.26
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
0
D
13.03.26
Seg
Colón
Paysandu
2
0
W
08.11.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
18.10.25
Seg
Colón
Artigas
0
2
L
11.10.25
Seg
Colón
Deportivo Maldonado
2
0
W
27.09.25
Seg
Colón
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
15.09.25
Seg
Colón
Fenix
1
0
W
30.08.25
Seg
Colón
Atenas
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
Colón
Tacuarembo
2
2
D
10.08.25
Seg
Colón
La Luz
1
0
W
02.08.25
Seg
Colón
Cerrito
2
1
W
13.07.25
Seg
Colón
Oriental
0
1
L
29.06.25
Seg
Colón
Albion FC
2
0
W
16.06.25
Seg
Colón
Rampla Juniors
0
1
L
H2H away: Colón
30.08.25
H2H
Atenas
Colón
1
1
D
19.05.24
H2H
Atenas
Colón
0
0
D

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D