ITALY SERIE A
25.01.2026 14:00
New Balance Arena
Referee: J. L. Sacchi
Atalanta
Match Timeline
Parma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
G. Scamacca
Atalanta
24'
M. De Roon · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Atalanta
🔄
46'
B. Djimsiti ↔ I. Hien
Atalanta
🔄
46'
A. Benedyczak ↔ M. Pellegrino
Parma
🔄
46'
A. Circati ↔ E. Valeri
Parma
🔄
46'
N. Estevez ↔ G. Oristanio
Parma
🟨
53'
Gianluca Scamacca
Atalanta
🔄
60'
N. Zalewski ↔ L. Bernasconi
Atalanta
🔄
60'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
64'
O. Sorensen ↔ J. Ondrejka
Parma
🔄
72'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ M. Pasalic
Atalanta
73'
G. Raspadori · Assist: N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
78'
M. De Roon ↔ A. Lookman
Atalanta
🔄
85'
M. Keita ↔ C. Ordonez
Parma
90'
N. Krstovic
Atalanta

Atalanta vs Parma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 0%
Draw 0%
Parma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.26
Parma0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
40 GF / 29 GA
Parma Parma
WLDWL
19 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
14
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
8
4.31
Shots on Goal
3.21

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 29 matches
Parma Parma 24 matches
Atalanta Statistic Parma
13 Wins 6
9 Draws 9
7 Losses 9
40 Goals For 19
29 Goals Against 26
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
14 BTTS Yes 10
22 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 8
6 Over 3.5 3
11 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 11
4.31 Shots On Goal 3.21
14.69 Total Shots 11.33
5.34 Corners 3.42
55.1% Ball Possession 42.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 9 times, Parma won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:21 from Atalanta's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atalanta 3-4-2-1 / Parma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 9, draws 2, Parma wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma Away
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B