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ITALY › SERIE A
28.12.2025 19:45
New Balance Arena
Referee: Federico La Penna, Italy
Atalanta
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Sead Kolašinac
Atalanta
VAR
36'
Marcus Thuram
Inter
🔄
46'
D. Zappacosta ↔ Y. Musah
Atalanta
🔄
58'
M. Pasalic ↔ K. Sulemana
Atalanta
🔄
64'
M. Thuram ↔ F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
65'
N. Zalewski ↔ L. Bernasconi
Atalanta
⚽
65'
L. Martinez · Assist: F. Esposito
Inter
🔄
75'
S. Kolasinac ↔ L. Samardzic
Atalanta
🔄
76'
N. Barella ↔ H. Mkhitaryan
Inter
🔄
76'
F. Dimarco ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🟨
77'
Alessandro Bastoni
Inter
🟨
80'
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Atalanta
🔄
83'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Diouf
Inter
🔄
84'
P. Zielinski ↔ D. Frattesi
Inter

Atalanta vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 0%
Draw 0%
Inter Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.18
Inter1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
32 GF / 24 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
52 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
2.26
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
15
4.57
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 23 matches
Inter Inter 23 matches
Atalanta Statistic Inter
10 Wins 16
8 Draws 1
5 Losses 6
32 Goals For 52
24 Goals Against 20
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 2.26
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
12 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 20
11 Over 2.5 15
5 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 2
4.57 Shots On Goal 5.83
15.39 Total Shots 17.39
5.52 Corners 6.7
55.6% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 0 times, Inter won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:29 from Atalanta's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atalanta 3-4-2-1 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 0, draws 4, Inter wins 11

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B