Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
34.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Atalanta
Genoa
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atalanta
50 matches
Genoa
37 matches
| Atalanta | Statistic | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 12 |
| 15 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 16 |
| 73 | Goals For | 46 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 4.58 | Shots On Goal | 3.97 |
| 14.72 | Total Shots | 11.78 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 3.76 |
| 53.9% | Ball Possession | 48.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Atalanta's more proactive style and Genoa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Genoa. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atalanta expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Genoa in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Genoa having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Genoa arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
From their first 34 matches, Atalanta have collected 54 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 47:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Scamacca (10 goals), N. Krstovic (10 goals), C. De Ketelaere (3 goals), with creative support from C. De Ketelaere (5 assists), N. Zalewski (5 assists), N. Krstovic (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Genoa sit 14 with 39 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 15 defeats with a 40:48 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lorenzo Colombo (7 goals), Ruslan Malinovskyi (6 goals), Leo Østigård (5 goals), with creative support from Aarón Martín (5 assists), Ruslan Malinovskyi (3 assists), Alessandro Marcandalli (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 9 times, Genoa won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:14 from Atalanta's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Atalanta
7
2
8
3
6
2
Lineups
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Bologna
Atalanta
AC Milan
Atalanta
Cagliari
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
AS Roma
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Lecce
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Inter
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Udinese
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Cremonese
Genoa
Lecce
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
Pisa
Atalanta
Bologna
Atalanta
Lazio
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Hellas Verona
Atalanta
Bayern München
Atalanta
Udinese
Atalanta
Borussia Dortmund
Atalanta
Napoli
Atalanta
Cremonese
Atalanta
Juventus
Atalanta
Parma
Atalanta
Athletic Club
Atalanta
Torino
Atalanta
AS Roma
Atalanta
Inter
Atalanta
Cagliari
Atalanta
Chelsea
Atalanta
Genoa
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Genoa
Lecce
Genoa
Fiorentina
Genoa
Pisa
Genoa
Juventus
Genoa
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Inter
Genoa
Cremonese
Genoa
Lazio
Genoa
Parma
Genoa
AC Milan
Genoa
AS Roma
Genoa
Udinese
Genoa
Atalanta
Genoa
Cagliari
Genoa
Sassuolo
Genoa
Torino
Genoa
Napoli
Genoa
Bologna
Genoa
Como
Genoa
Bologna
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Atalanta
Home
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Genoa
Away
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|