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ITALY › SERIE A
03.01.2026 19:45
Atalanta
FT
1 - 0
AS Roma
New Balance Arena
Referee: Michael Fabbri, Italy
Atalanta
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
G. Scalvini · Assist: N. Zalewski
Atalanta
🟨
19'
Marten de Roon
Atalanta
🔄
26'
S. Kolasinac ↔ H. Ahanor
Atalanta
VAR
31'
Gianluca Scamacca
Atalanta
🟨
43'
Gianluca Mancini
AS Roma
🟨
45+3'
Mario Hermoso
AS Roma
🔄
46'
J. Ziolkowski ↔ Wesley Franca
AS Roma
🔄
59'
G. Scalvini ↔ I. Hien
Atalanta
🔄
59'
N. Zalewski ↔ Y. Musah
Atalanta
🔄
60'
E. Ferguson ↔ A. Dovbyk
AS Roma
🔄
60'
D. Rensch ↔ K. Tsimikas
AS Roma
🔄
66'
M. Soule ↔ S. El Shaarawy
AS Roma
🔄
72'
Ederson ↔ D. Maldini
Atalanta
🔄
72'
G. Scamacca ↔ N. Krstovic
Atalanta
🔄
83'
M. Kone ↔ N. Pisilli
AS Roma

Atalanta vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 0%
Draw 0%
AS Roma Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.08
AS Roma1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
32 GF / 25 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
30 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
12
BTTS Yes
8
11
Over 2.5
9
4.38
Shots on Goal
5.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 24 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 23 matches
Atalanta Statistic AS Roma
10 Wins 15
8 Draws 0
6 Losses 8
32 Goals For 30
25 Goals Against 16
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
12 BTTS Yes 8
18 Over 1.5 12
11 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 6
4.38 Shots On Goal 5.04
15.04 Total Shots 13.87
5.46 Corners 5.52
55.2% Ball Possession 57.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 9 times, AS Roma won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from Atalanta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atalanta 3-4-2-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 9, draws 4, AS Roma wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter
38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2
Napoli
38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3
AS Roma Away
38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4
Como
38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5
AC Milan
38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6
Juventus
38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7
Atalanta Home
38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8
Bologna
38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10
Udinese
38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11
Sassuolo
38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12
Torino
38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13
Parma
38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14
Cagliari
38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15
Fiorentina
38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16
Genoa
38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17
Lecce
38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18
Cremonese
38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19
Hellas Verona
38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20
Pisa
38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B