ITALY SERIE A
09.12.2023 17:00
Gewiss Stadium
Referee: F. La Penna
Atalanta
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
38'
Event
45+3'
Event
55'
Event
🟨
71'
Event
🟨
72'
Event
🟨
80'
Event
80'
Event
🟨
88'
Event
🟨
90+3'
Event
🟨
90+2'
Event
🟥
90+3'
Event
90+5'
Event

Atalanta vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Atalanta Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atalanta1.33
AC Milan1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atalanta Atalanta
WWDLW
21 GF / 16 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
24 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
6
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
4.79
Shots on Goal
4.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atalanta Atalanta 14 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 14 matches
Atalanta Statistic AC Milan
6 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 3
21 Goals For 24
16 Goals Against 15
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
6 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 6
7 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
4.79 Shots On Goal 4.64
13.36 Total Shots 11.86
5.64 Corners 4.29
52.3% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atalanta won 7 times, AC Milan won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Atalanta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Atalanta 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Atalanta wins 7, draws 4, AC Milan wins 4

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 7 2 89:22 67 94
D D W L W
2 38 22 9 7 76:49 27 75
D L W D D
3 38 19 14 5 54:31 23 71
W D D D D
4 38 21 6 11 72:42 30 69
L W W W W
5 38 18 14 6 54:32 22 68
L D W D D
6 38 18 9 11 65:46 19 63
L W L D D
7 38 18 7 13 49:39 10 61
D D W D W
8 38 17 9 12 61:46 15 60
W W D W L
9 38 13 14 11 36:36 0 53
L W W D L
10 38 13 14 11 55:48 7 53
D D L D D
11 38 12 13 13 45:45 0 49
W L W D W
12 38 11 12 15 39:51 -12 45
L L L D D
13 38 9 11 18 38:51 -13 38
D W L W L
14 38 8 14 16 32:54 -22 38
D L L D D
15 38 6 19 13 37:53 -16 37
W D W D D
16 38 8 12 18 42:68 -26 36
L W L D L
17 38 9 9 20 29:54 -25 36
W D L D L
18 38 8 11 19 44:69 -25 35
L W L D W
19 38 7 9 22 43:75 -32 30
D L L W L
20 38 2 11 25 32:81 -49 17
D L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - Serie B