Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nottingham Forest Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.44
Nottingham Forest1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Nottingham Forest
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.36
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
7
BTTS Yes
5
9
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
2.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
9 matches
Nottingham Forest
11 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 15 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 2.5 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 33% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 8 times, Nottingham Forest won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 8, draws 3, Nottingham Forest wins 3
Last matches: Aston Villa
23.08.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
0
4
L
15.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
2
L
12.08.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Paris Saint Germain
1
2
L
07.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Aston Villa
BG Pathum United
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
25.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
FC Porto
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Walsall
5
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester City
2
1
W
20.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
3
0
W
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
10.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Burnley
2
2
D
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
30.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Fulham
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
12.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
1
1
D
09.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
3
1
W
Last matches: Nottingham Forest
29.08.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
2
2
D
22.08.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
0
1
L
16.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Bayer Leverkusen
2
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Barcelona
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Udinese
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Sporting CP
1
4
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Portimonense
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Vitória SC
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Blackburn
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Notts County
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
2
3
L
10.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Newcastle
1
1
D
07.05.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
3
1
W
30.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
5
0
W
19.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
4
1
W
16.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
0
W
H2H: Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
07.05.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
30.04.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
0
L
12.04.26
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
03.01.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
14.12.24
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
2
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
2
W
05.11.23
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
2
0
L
08.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
10.10.22
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
1
D
28.07.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
13.03.19
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
1
3
W
28.11.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
5
D
13.01.18
H2H
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
1
W
23.09.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
Last matches: Aston Villa
28.07.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Real Sociedad
2
4
L
15.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Liverpool
4
2
W
07.05.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Tottenham
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4
3
W
16.04.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Bologna
4
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Aston Villa
Elche
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
West Ham
2
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Lille
2
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1
4
L
21.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Leeds
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Aston Villa
Newcastle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brighton
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Brentford
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
3
2
W
18.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Everton
0
1
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
21.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Manchester United
2
1
W
06.12.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Arsenal
2
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aston Villa
Wolves
1
0
W
H2H at home: Aston Villa
07.05.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
W
03.01.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
24.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
0
W
28.07.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
28.11.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
5
D
23.09.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
W
Last matches: Nottingham Forest
29.08.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
2
2
D
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Barcelona
0
1
L
08.08.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Udinese
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Sporting CP
1
4
L
31.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Portimonense
2
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Vitória SC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nottingham Forest
Notts County
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
2
3
L
07.05.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
0
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Sunderland
5
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Porto
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
3
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
FC Midtjylland
2
1
W
04.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
2
2
D
01.03.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
1
2
L
19.02.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
Fenerbahçe
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
1
3
L
25.01.26
Pre
Nottingham Forest
Brentford
2
0
W
22.01.26
UEF
Nottingham Forest
SC Braga
0
1
L
H2H away: Nottingham Forest
07.05.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
0
L
03.01.26
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
3
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
L
24.02.24
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
4
2
L
08.04.23
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
0
L
28.07.21
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
28.11.18
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
5
D
23.09.17
H2H
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
2
1
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
Away
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship