ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE

12.09.2026 14:00

Aston Villa

1 - 2

Nottingham Forest

Villa Park

Referee: Andy Madley, England

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Aston Villa

Match Timeline

Nottingham Forest

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 66.4%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 70.3%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	66.4%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	70.3%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Under 11.5 Corners	74%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Aston Villa Win 46.4%

Draw 20%

Nottingham Forest Win 33.7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Aston Villa1.3

Nottingham Forest1.48

Recent Form (Last 5)

Aston Villa

WWDLW

18 GF / 22 GA

Nottingham Forest

WLDWL

15 GF / 12 GA

Key Stats

1.5

Average Goals Scored

1.25

1.83

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

2.8

Shots on Goal

2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa 12 matches

Nottingham Forest 12 matches

Aston Villa	Statistic	Nottingham Forest
3	Wins	5
1	Draws	3
8	Losses	4
18	Goals For	15
22	Goals Against	12
1.5	Avg Goals Scored	1.25
1.83	Avg Goals Conceded	1
8	BTTS Yes	5
10	Over 1.5	8
10	Over 2.5	5
5	Over 3.5	2
2	Clean Sheets	4
3	Failed To Score	4
2.8	Shots On Goal	2.33
12.4	Total Shots	12
3	Corners	3.33
43%	Ball Possession	42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 8 times, Nottingham Forest won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (80%)

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Aston Villa 5, Nottingham Forest 1

H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 8, draws 3, Nottingham Forest wins 3

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Manchester City	6	6	0	0	16:5	11	18	W W W W W
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10:5	5	15	W L W W W
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18:5	13	13	W W W D L
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12:6	6	10	D W D D D
5	Everton	6	2	4	0	8:5	3	10	D W D D D
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	15:13	2	10	W L D L W
7	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8:5	3	9	L D W D D
8	Hull City	6	2	3	1	8:6	2	9	D L D D W
9	Liverpool	6	2	3	1	7:7	0	9	L W D W D
10	Ipswich	6	3	0	3	9:12	-3	9	W L W L L
11	Newcastle	6	2	2	2	10:13	-3	8	L W L D W
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7	W D L W L
13	Manchester United	6	1	3	2	9:9	0	6	D D L D W
14	Coventry	6	2	0	4	5:11	-6	6	W W L L L
15	Nottingham Forest Away	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5	L L W D D
16	Aston Villa Home	6	1	2	3	6:11	-5	5	D W L D L
17	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4	L L L D W
18	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7:13	-6	3	L L D D D
19	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3:9	-6	3	D L D D L
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6:10	-4	2	L D D L L

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