Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
66.4%
|
1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
2.00 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74%
|
1.35 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 46.4%
Draw 20%
Nottingham Forest Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.3
Nottingham Forest1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa
WWDLW
18 GF / 22 GA
Nottingham Forest
WLDWL
15 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
5
2.8
Shots on Goal
2.33
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
12 matches
Nottingham Forest
12 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 8 | Losses | 4 |
| 18 | Goals For | 15 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.83 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 2.8 | Shots On Goal | 2.33 |
| 12.4 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 3 | Corners | 3.33 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 42.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 8 times, Nottingham Forest won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:18 from Aston Villa's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Aston Villa 5, Nottingham Forest 1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 8, draws 3, Nottingham Forest wins 3
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
Away
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship