ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
26.10.2025 14:00
Villa Park
Referee: M. Oliver
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
M. Cash · Assist: E. Buendia
Aston Villa
🔄
29'
E. Buendia ↔ J. Sancho
Aston Villa
🟨
40'
Savinho
Manchester City
🟨
54'
Tijjani Reijnders
Manchester City
🔄
61'
O. Bobb ↔ J. Doku
Manchester City
🔄
61'
J. Stones ↔ N. O'Reilly
Manchester City
🔄
61'
B. Silva ↔ Nico
Manchester City
🟨
64'
Nico González
Manchester City
🔄
74'
J. McGinn ↔ R. Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
74'
↔ E. Guessand
Aston Villa
🔄
76'
T. Reijnders ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
80'
Phil Foden
Manchester City
🟨
81'
Boubacar Kamara
Aston Villa
🔄
84'
Savinho ↔ O. Marmoush
Manchester City
🔄
86'
O. Watkins ↔ D. Malen
Aston Villa
🔄
86'
L. Digne ↔ I. Maatsen
Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa0.95
Manchester City1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
12 GF / 10 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
23 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
2.09
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
5
3.55
Shots on Goal
5.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 11 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 11 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Manchester City
5 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
12 Goals For 23
10 Goals Against 8
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 2.09
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
5 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 1
3.55 Shots On Goal 5.36
10.91 Total Shots 14.18
5.73 Corners 5
56.6% Ball Possession 61.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 4 times, Manchester City won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:32 from Aston Villa's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Manchester City 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 4, draws 1, Manchester City wins 10

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship