Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
52 matches
Liverpool
52 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wins | 27 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 17 |
| 81 | Goals For | 94 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 67 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 42 |
| 27 | Over 2.5 | 32 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.65 | Shots On Goal | 5.35 |
| 12.5 | Total Shots | 16.21 |
| 5.23 | Corners | 6.1 |
| 53.8% | Ball Possession | 57.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Liverpool.
Aston Villa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 59 points from 36 matches. The record of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 50:46 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through O. Watkins (12 goals), M. Rogers (9 goals), Emiliano Buendía (6 goals), with creative support from M. Rogers (5 assists), Lucas Digne (5 assists), John McGinn (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 11 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Operating from 4 place with 59 points from 36 games, Liverpool bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 17 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with goals at 60:48, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Ekitike (11 goals), C. Gakpo (7 goals), M. Salah (7 goals), with creative support from M. Salah (6 assists), C. Gakpo (5 assists), D. Szoboszlai (5 assists), while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 3 times, Liverpool won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:31 from Aston Villa's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Aston Villa
9
5
2
8
3
3
Lineups
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Aston Villa
SC Freiburg
Aston Villa
Burnley
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Fulham
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Elche
Aston Villa
West Ham
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Wolves
Aston Villa
Leeds
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brentford
Liverpool
Chelsea
Liverpool
Manchester United
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Everton
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Manchester City
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Sunderland
Aston Villa
Bologna
Aston Villa
Elche
Aston Villa
West Ham
Aston Villa
Lille
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Leeds
Aston Villa
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brentford
Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg
Aston Villa
Everton
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Wolves
Aston Villa
BSC Young Boys
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Manchester United
Liverpool
Everton
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brighton
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Wolves
Liverpool
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Sunderland
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Liverpool
Marseille
Liverpool
Arsenal
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Liverpool
Inter
Liverpool
Leeds
Liverpool
West Ham
Liverpool
Manchester City
Liverpool
Brentford
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 5 |
Liverpool
Away
|
38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|