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14.10.2026 19:00
Villa Park
Referee: Ivan Kruzliak
Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Fenerbahçe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
Johan Manzambi
Aston Villa
⚽
31'
Nicolas Jackson · Assist: Boubacar Kamara
Aston Villa
⚽
39'
Nicolas Jackson · Assist: Ross Barkley
Aston Villa
🟨
42'
Mattéo Guendouzi
Fenerbahçe
⚽
68'
Ross Barkley
Aston Villa
🔄
69'
Mason Greenwood ↔ Nene Dorgeles
Fenerbahçe
🔄
69'
Vedat Muriqi ↔ Romelu Lukaku
Fenerbahçe
🔄
69'
Ismail Yüksek ↔ Bartuğ Elmaz
Fenerbahçe
⚽
72'
Ross Barkley · Assist: Ibrahim Mbaye
Aston Villa
🔄
73'
Boubacar Kamara ↔ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
Aston Villa
🔄
73'
Johan Manzambi ↔ João Gomes
Aston Villa
🟨
78'
Oğuz Aydın
Fenerbahçe
🔄
78'
Nicolas Jackson ↔ Tammy Abraham
Aston Villa
🔄
79'
Ibrahim Mbaye ↔ Alejandro Garnacho
Aston Villa
🔄
83'
Ross Barkley ↔ Leon Goretzka
Aston Villa
⚽
90'
Tammy Abraham · Assist: Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha
Aston Villa

Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.8%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.8%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.3%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 52.2%
Draw 4.2%
Fenerbahçe Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.26
Fenerbahçe2.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa Aston Villa
WWDLW
27 GF / 29 GA
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WLDWL
41 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.81
Average Goals Conceded
0.61
12
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
6.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aston Villa Aston Villa 16 matches
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 18 matches
Aston Villa Statistic Fenerbahçe
5 Wins 12
2 Draws 4
9 Losses 2
27 Goals For 41
29 Goals Against 11
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.81 Avg Goals Conceded 0.61
12 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 6.57
13 Total Shots 15.64
3 Corners 5.93
44.5% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 1 times, Fenerbahçe won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Aston Villa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Fenerbahçe 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Aston Villa 7, Fenerbahçe 5
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 1, draws 0, Fenerbahçe wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)