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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
24.10.2026 16:30
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Asteras Tripolis Win 44.4%
Draw 29.5%
Levadiakos Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Asteras Tripolis1.16
Levadiakos0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
WWDLW
8 GF / 16 GA
Levadiakos Levadiakos
WLDWL
0 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
6
BTTS Yes
0
4
Over 2.5
1
4.71
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 9 matches
Levadiakos Levadiakos 7 matches
Asteras Tripolis Statistic Levadiakos
1 Wins 0
4 Draws 2
4 Losses 5
8 Goals For 0
16 Goals Against 11
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
6 BTTS Yes 0
7 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 7
4.71 Shots On Goal 2.57
10.71 Total Shots 10.57
3.43 Corners 4.71
44.6% Ball Possession 48.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Levadiakos. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Asteras Tripolis expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Levadiakos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Levadiakos having the stronger overall control. Asteras Tripolis arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 5 points compared to Levadiakos in 13 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Levadiakos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Asteras Tripolis Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Asteras Tripolis have collected 5 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:10 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Macheda (2 goals), K. Ketu (2 goals), J. Bartolo (2 goals), with creative support from Alex Méndez (2 assists), F. Macheda (1 assists), Eder González (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Levadiakos Analysis

With 1 points from 6 games and a place of 13, Levadiakos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 0:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 3 times, Levadiakos won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Asteras Tripolis's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.9%)
Predicted formations: Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3 / Levadiakos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Asteras Tripolis wins 3, draws 6, Levadiakos wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 17:4 13 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 1 1 7:2 5 16
W W W L D
3 7 5 0 2 15:9 6 15
W L W W L
4 6 4 2 0 16:3 13 14
W W D W D
5 7 4 1 2 10:13 -3 13
W W D L L
6 7 3 1 3 13:12 1 10
W W L W D
7 7 3 1 3 11:11 0 10
L L D W W
8 7 2 3 2 7:8 -1 9
L W D D W
9 7 3 0 4 8:11 -3 9
L L L L W
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W W D L
11 7 1 2 4 7:15 -8 5
L W D D L
12 6 0 2 4 5:9 -4 2
L L D D L
13 7 0 2 5 0:11 -11 2
D L L D L
14 7 0 3 4 6:12 -6 0
D L L L D
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)